Emerson: UT (McMullin +4), NH (Clinton +8), PA (Clinton +4), MO (Trump +8)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 28, 2024, 12:47:39 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  Emerson: UT (McMullin +4), NH (Clinton +8), PA (Clinton +4), MO (Trump +8)		 « previous next »
Pages: 1 [2] 3
Author Topic: Emerson: UT (McMullin +4), NH (Clinton +8), PA (Clinton +4), MO (Trump +8)  (Read 5910 times)
‼realJohnEwards‼
MatteKudasai
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,867
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -4.87

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #25 on: October 19, 2016, 02:39:40 PM »
Poll: is HookiePook the new jmfcst? Vote now on your phones!
Logged
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,751


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #26 on: October 19, 2016, 02:40:13 PM »
Quote from: HillOfANight on October 19, 2016, 02:31:26 PM
Quote from: Assemblyman Gass3268 on October 19, 2016, 02:25:40 PM
I'd vote for McMuffin in Utah, just to see Trump lose the state.

If you were an actual Utah voter that wanted Clinton to win though, letting McMullin win, and in the event she's short of 270, lets the House vote for President, and they'll probably vote Trump.

They would vote McMullin/Kaine
Logged
F_S_USATN
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 303


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #27 on: October 19, 2016, 02:55:25 PM »
Quote from: yeah_93 on October 19, 2016, 02:22:43 PM

Mods, please assassinate.

In any case, isn't Emerson considered junk around here?

Trump would of approve of this thread

Mcmuffin's from the reds and cheddar "melts" from the blues
Logged
BoAtlantis
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 791


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #28 on: October 19, 2016, 02:57:00 PM »
Clicking on this thread is making me hungry.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,527
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #29 on: October 19, 2016, 03:03:17 PM »
The Senate polling is pretty good at well, especially after accounting for their bias.
Logged
pbrower2a
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,839
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #30 on: October 19, 2016, 03:06:16 PM »
McMullin charge in Utah? Just amazing.

Offend Mormon sensibilities, and lose Utah, even if you are a Republican. 
Logged
Fitzgerald
Rookie
**
Posts: 106
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.74, S: -5.91

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #31 on: October 19, 2016, 03:07:05 PM »
Folks, I do believe what we're witnessing is some bona fide McMentum.
Logged
An American Tail: Fubart Goes West
Fubart Solman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,731
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #32 on: October 19, 2016, 03:12:19 PM »
It is Emerson, but this is fantastic news for McMullin. This will continue the feedback loop as mentioned.
Logged
100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
Moderators
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,717


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #33 on: October 19, 2016, 03:22:23 PM »
President McMullin, please!  (I'm still strategically voting for Trump)
Logged
rafta_rafta
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 926


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #34 on: October 19, 2016, 03:38:51 PM »
I hope Monmouth or Qunnipiac polls UT soon
Logged
dspNY
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,874
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #35 on: October 19, 2016, 03:41:24 PM »
Quote from: rafta_rafta on October 19, 2016, 03:38:51 PM
I hope Monmouth or Qunnipiac polls UT soon

Monmouth already did

Trump 34, Clinton 28, McMullin 20
Logged
ProudModerate2
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,455
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #36 on: October 19, 2016, 03:48:03 PM »
Quote from: Xiivi on October 19, 2016, 02:10:53 PM
Not a pollster I'd put a lot of stock in; but a pollster finally showing McMullin ahead in Utah is bound to generate a lot of press in the state and get some more name recognition for them there.  Positive feedback loop for McMullin in the state!  Excellent news!
Logged
mark_twain
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 427
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #37 on: October 19, 2016, 03:59:12 PM »
Great poll!
Logged
ProudModerate2
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,455
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #38 on: October 19, 2016, 04:05:30 PM »
« Edited: October 19, 2016, 04:10:31 PM by ProudModerate2 »
It seems that in 538, the large favorability towards trump winning Utah is because of the YouGov poll taken from Oct 12-14.
It shows a trump +17 (adjusted +15), and 538 has "weighed" it considerably heavy/high.
Otherwise, Utah would be a toss-up 3-way battle between trump, Clinton and McMullin.
Logged
rafta_rafta
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 926


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #39 on: October 19, 2016, 04:05:57 PM »
I'm loving it!
Logged
amdcpus
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 307
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #40 on: October 19, 2016, 04:10:16 PM »
Quote from: ProudModerate2 on October 19, 2016, 04:05:30 PM
It seems that in 538, the favorability towards trump winning Utah is because of the YouGov poll taken from Oct 12-14.
It shows a trump +17 (adjusted +15), and 538 has "weighed" it considerably heavy/high.
Otherwise, Utah would be a toss-up 3-way battle between trump, Clinton and McMullin.

Which is ridiculous. YouGov deliberately lowered McMullin's numbers by not including him in the question or the answer, you had to choose "other" first.
Logged
An American Tail: Fubart Goes West
Fubart Solman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,731
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #41 on: October 19, 2016, 04:22:10 PM »
Quote from: amdcpus on October 19, 2016, 04:10:16 PM
Quote from: ProudModerate2 on October 19, 2016, 04:05:30 PM
It seems that in 538, the favorability towards trump winning Utah is because of the YouGov poll taken from Oct 12-14.
It shows a trump +17 (adjusted +15), and 538 has "weighed" it considerably heavy/high.
Otherwise, Utah would be a toss-up 3-way battle between trump, Clinton and McMullin.

Which is ridiculous. YouGov deliberately lowered McMullin's numbers by not including him in the question or the answer, you had to choose "other" first.

Yeah, it was a BS poll.


Nice!
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #42 on: October 19, 2016, 04:39:34 PM »
This may be the first post-labor day state poll showing a third-party/independent candidate leading in a state since 1968. Let that sink in for a second.
Logged
‼realJohnEwards‼
MatteKudasai
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,867
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -4.87

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #43 on: October 19, 2016, 04:39:59 PM »
Quote from: Castro on October 19, 2016, 04:39:34 PM
This may be the first post-labor day state poll showing a third-party/independent candidate leading in a state since 1968. Let that sink in for a second.
1992?
Logged
Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,727
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #44 on: October 19, 2016, 04:49:32 PM »
Quote from: @realJohnEwards on October 19, 2016, 04:39:59 PM
Quote from: Castro on October 19, 2016, 04:39:34 PM
This may be the first post-labor day state poll showing a third-party/independent candidate leading in a state since 1968. Let that sink in for a second.
1992?

After some searching, I can't find any state polls from 1992, not to mention the fact that Perot's support was significantly lower after he returned to the race in the fall. There's a chance a Maine poll would have had him up, but I don't think one was ever conducted.
Logged
CatoMinor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,007
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #45 on: October 19, 2016, 04:53:08 PM »
Junk pollster or not, these polls give McMuffin the free media publicity he needs to to solidify his numbers in Utah.

I am wondering though if he will carry any counties in the Mormon part of southern Idaho.
Logged
An American Tail: Fubart Goes West
Fubart Solman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,731
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #46 on: October 19, 2016, 04:58:07 PM »
Quote from: Jbrase on October 19, 2016, 04:53:08 PM
Junk pollster or not, these polls give McMuffin the free media publicity he needs to to solidify his numbers in Utah.

I am wondering though if he will carry any counties in the Mormon part of southern Idaho.

I'd guarantee that he'll get some counties in Idaho. Madison County for sure (contains Rexburg, home of BYU-Idaho).

My prediction:



Based in part on this map:
Logged
ElectionAtlas
Atlas Proginator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,629
United States


P P P
WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #47 on: October 19, 2016, 05:29:27 PM »
New Poll: New Hampshire President by Emerson College on 2016-10-19

Summary: D: 44%, R: 36%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
ElectionAtlas
Atlas Proginator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,629
United States


P P P
WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #48 on: October 19, 2016, 05:30:13 PM »
New Poll: Pennsylvania President by Emerson College on 2016-10-19

Summary: D: 45%, R: 41%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
ElectionAtlas
Atlas Proginator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,629
United States


P P P
WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #49 on: October 19, 2016, 05:31:15 PM »
New Poll: Missouri President by Emerson College on 2016-10-19

Summary: D: 39%, R: 47%, U: 7%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Pages: 1 [2] 3  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.045 seconds with 12 queries.