Politico/Morning Consult - Clinton + 6 (4way) / Clinton + 5 (2way)
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Author Topic: Politico/Morning Consult - Clinton + 6 (4way) / Clinton + 5 (2way)  (Read 950 times)
Terry the Fat Shark
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« on: October 17, 2016, 06:29:50 AM »



4 way:
Clinton - 42
Trump - 36
Johnson - 10
Stein - 3

2way:
Clinton - 46
Trump - 41

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/10/poll-41-percent-of-voters-say-the-election-could-be-stolen-from-trump-229871
41% say the election may be "stolen" from Trump
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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« Reply #1 on: October 17, 2016, 06:31:45 AM »

Considering how static this one has been... good to see Trump continue to slide.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2 on: October 17, 2016, 06:34:44 AM »

Considering how static this one has been... good to see Trump continue to slide.

You could say he's Slip Slidin' Away
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #3 on: October 17, 2016, 06:38:16 AM »

I find it odd that more people (41%) think the election is going to be rigged for Clinton than support Trump (36%)
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voter1993
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« Reply #4 on: October 17, 2016, 06:41:28 AM »

I see Trump hit his bottom in this poll i see him gaining next week if he doesn't have a fisaster debate
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #5 on: October 17, 2016, 06:42:37 AM »

I find it odd that more people (41%) think the election is going to be rigged for Clinton than support Trump (36%)

But Trump has 41% in the two way.
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #6 on: October 17, 2016, 06:46:48 AM »

I find it odd that more people (41%) think the election is going to be rigged for Clinton than support Trump (36%)

But Trump has 41% in the two way.
True, I just find it very hard to believe that 100% of Trump supporters would believe that, for example...if  it really was just those 2, I would vote Trump, and if he lost, I would not believe the election was rigged...
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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #7 on: October 17, 2016, 06:52:10 AM »

Statistically a 1% drop isn't really a decline.
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Gustaf
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« Reply #8 on: October 17, 2016, 07:03:10 AM »

Is it just me, or has the Trump advantage in the 4-way (relative to the 2-way) kind of disappeared?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #9 on: October 17, 2016, 07:11:57 AM »

I've noticed that too.  In conjunction with third-party support dropping, the obvious conclusion is that some of the former third-party support has drifted to one of the two major party candidates (a typical behavior in any election).  Previously the third party supporters were pulling more from Clinton than Trump, but much of the drift has been back to Clinton, which has pretty much neutralized the discrepancy.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #10 on: October 17, 2016, 07:51:58 AM »

I find it odd that more people (41%) think the election is going to be rigged for Clinton than support Trump (36%)

I'm sure some former Bernie supporters still feel that way.
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Gustaf
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« Reply #11 on: October 17, 2016, 08:50:11 AM »

I've noticed that too.  In conjunction with third-party support dropping, the obvious conclusion is that some of the former third-party support has drifted to one of the two major party candidates (a typical behavior in any election).  Previously the third party supporters were pulling more from Clinton than Trump, but much of the drift has been back to Clinton, which has pretty much neutralized the discrepancy.

Yup, I agree completely.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #12 on: October 17, 2016, 08:51:51 AM »

https://morningconsult.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/161007_crosstabs_trend_LIKELYVOTERS_v2_TS.pdf

Dems
Clinton 81%
Johnson 6%
Trump 6%
Stein 3%

GOP
Trump 78%
Johnson 9%
Clinton 6%
Stein 1%

Indies
Clinton 30%
Trump 30%
Johnson 19%
Stein 6%

As usual, Johnson draws more from Trump while Stein draws more from Clinton:

People who support Clinton in the 2-way matchup:
Clinton 88%
Johnson 6%
Stein 3%
Trump 0%

People who support Trump in the 2-way matchup:
Trump 87%
Johnson 8%
Stein 1%
Clinton 1%

There’s no gender gap in this poll whatsoever.  It’s also yet another poll in which Clinton does better with those making more than $100k than those between $50k and $100k.  And just like their last poll, Trump does better in the Northeast than in both the Midwest and West:

men: Clinton +6
women: Clinton +6
income under $50k: Clinton +12
income $50-100k: Trump +5
income over $100k: Clinton +8
whites: Trump +8
blacks: Clinton +84 (Johnson/Trump tied at 2nd w/ 3% each)
Hispanics: Clinton +38
urban: Clinton +28
suburban: Clinton +4
rural: Trump +10
Midwest: Clinton +8
Northeast: Clinton +7
South: Trump +3
West: Clinton +19

fav/unfav %:
Pence 44/34% for +10%
Kaine 31/37% for -6%
Johnson 22/33% for -11%
Clinton 42/56% for -14%
Trump 38/60% for -22%

Relevant for 2020:
Paul Ryan 34/43% for -9%
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #13 on: October 17, 2016, 11:55:17 AM »

Not too shabby.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #14 on: October 17, 2016, 02:11:18 PM »

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