NV-CBS/YouGov: Tie

[heatcharger]

Link.

Cortez-Masto - 39% (+4)
Heck - 39% (+1)

An interesting tidbit:

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[Ebsy]

CCM looks increasingly like she is going to pull it out.

[Xing]

You got this, CCM !

[Ozymandias]

Will Jordan ‏@williamjordann  2h2 hours ago
Undecideds in the Nevada Senate race (currently tied 39-39) split 47-30 for Clinton over Trump in the presidential

https://twitter.com/williamjordann/status/787660951084564480

[Green Line]

Still a Tossup, but CCM is probably a very slight favorite at this point.

No you see.  Every poll of Nevada has to be corrected +10 D at least cuz Hispanics.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Yeah, this looks pretty good. Come on CCM!

[Ebsy]

Still a Tossup, but CCM is probably a very slight favorite at this point.

No you see.  Every poll of Nevada has to be corrected +10 D at least cuz Hispanics.

I know you are being intentionally obtuse, but Democrats do typically substantially outperform their poll numbers in Nevada. Not always of course, but it appears to be fairly systemic.

[Green Line]

Still a Tossup, but CCM is probably a very slight favorite at this point.

No you see.  Every poll of Nevada has to be corrected +10 D at least cuz Hispanics.

I know you are being intentionally obtuse, but Democrats do typically substantially outperform their poll numbers in Nevada. Not always of course, but it appears to be fairly systemic.

Maybe.  They didn't in 2014 though. 

[Ebsy]

Still a Tossup, but CCM is probably a very slight favorite at this point.

No you see.  Every poll of Nevada has to be corrected +10 D at least cuz Hispanics.

I know you are being intentionally obtuse, but Democrats do typically substantially outperform their poll numbers in Nevada. Not always of course, but it appears to be fairly systemic.

Maybe.  They didn't in 2014 though. 

There was no Democratic groundgame in operation in Nevada in 2014. Betting that what is true in midterm elections will transfer into presidential years seems like a very risky bet to me.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Still a Tossup, but CCM is probably a very slight favorite at this point.

[Gass3268]

Still a Tossup, but CCM is probably a very slight favorite at this point.

No you see.  Every poll of Nevada has to be corrected +10 D at least cuz Hispanics.

I know you are being intentionally obtuse, but Democrats do typically substantially outperform their poll numbers in Nevada. Not always of course, but it appears to be fairly systemic.

Maybe.  They didn't in 2014 though. 

There was no Democratic groundgame in operation in Nevada in 2014. Betting that what is true in midterm elections will transfer into presidential years seems like a very risky bet to me.

Didn't Reid essentailly all but endorse Sandoval?

[Xing]

I love how 2014 is supposed to prove that there can't be a Republican polling bias in Nevada this year. If 2014 is such a gold standard, why isn't everyone predicting that Trump will actually come within 1% of winning Virginia?

Even if you take the polls at face value, recent polls here show a strong trend toward CCM. Hard to see Heck winning if he can't reverse that trend.