How can candidates win particular states megathread

[AGA]

He won't; even Trump knows that he can't win the state. The same pollsters who predicted that Obama would win in in 2012 are showing that Clinton is leading in the high single digits or low double digits in Virginia.

[voter1993]

As somebody who lives in Arlington County, it is extremely unlikely he will win Virginia. Remember, in the GOP Primary  in Loudoun, Fairfax, Arlington, and Alexandria, Trump came in 2nd or 3rd place. He is uniquely positioned to have the worst showing for a major party nominee in Northern Virginia since Dukakis in '88.

He turns off...

Latinos (Arlington and Prince William County is 15 and 20 percent Hispanic, respectively)
College Educated Whites (Northern Virginia is the most educated place in the country)
Asians (Fairfax and Loudoun counties have large Vietnamese, Korean, and Indian populations
Millennials (Arlington County is 27% between the ages of 25-34)
Black People (Decent sized African American through whole region)

He will lose bigly. And although Northern Virginia is certainly not the whole part of Virginia, it is growing and will continue to grow. That is why even if Trump manages to drive up turnout in the formerly Democratic (now shifted hard right) parts of Southwest Virginia, it will still do effectively nothing to counter the huge margin Hillary racks up in those counties near DC. Clinton/Kaine will win Virginia.

P.S.

1. Trump literally pulled out of the state.
2. Trump won't just crater in the DC suburbs, he will be the first Republican since 1964 to lose Chesterfield county (Richmond suburb) and do similarly abysmal in the rest of the Richmond area.

does this make u feel better sleeping at night saying this? we don't need virginia to win

[Doimper]

Might as well ask how Trump is going to lose Texas, since that's more likely.

Trump is performing better in liberal states than in conservative ones.

[img]https://imgs.xkcd.com/comics/wikipedian_protester.png[img]

New Jersey & New York are examples.

He's currently losing NJ by 11 points and NY by 20 in the polling aggregate. He's also trailing Romney's percentage in both. Next.

Don't use polls, they are rigged in her favor. Use other factors.

Somebody please bump this thread on election night

[Suburbia]

They won't lose Virginia. They'll win it by 6-10 points.

[Yank2133]

As somebody who lives in Arlington County, it is extremely unlikely he will win Virginia. Remember, in the GOP Primary  in Loudoun, Fairfax, Arlington, and Alexandria, Trump came in 2nd or 3rd place. He is uniquely positioned to have the worst showing for a major party nominee in Northern Virginia since Dukakis in '88.

He turns off...

Latinos (Arlington and Prince William County is 15 and 20 percent Hispanic, respectively)
College Educated Whites (Northern Virginia is the most educated place in the country)
Asians (Fairfax and Loudoun counties have large Vietnamese, Korean, and Indian populations
Millennials (Arlington County is 27% between the ages of 25-34)
Black People (Decent sized African American through whole region)

He will lose bigly. And although Northern Virginia is certainly not the whole part of Virginia, it is growing and will continue to grow. That is why even if Trump manages to drive up turnout in the formerly Democratic (now shifted hard right) parts of Southwest Virginia, it will still do effectively nothing to counter the huge margin Hillary racks up in those counties near DC. Clinton/Kaine will win Virginia.

P.S.

1. Trump literally pulled out of the state.
2. Trump won't just crater in the DC suburbs, he will be the first Republican since 1964 to lose Chesterfield county (Richmond suburb) and do similarly abysmal in the rest of the Richmond area.

does this make u feel better sleeping at night saying this? we don't need virginia to win

True.

But without VA, Trump's already narrow path to 270 becomes nearly impossible.

[Incipimus iterum]

Might as well ask how Trump is going to lose Texas, since that's more likely.

Trump is performing better in liberal states than in conservative ones.

New Jersey & New York are examples.

He's currently losing NJ by 11 points and NY by 20 in the polling aggregate. He's also trailing Romney's percentage in both. Next.

Don't use polls, they are rigged in her favor. Use other factors.

Are polls rigged in Trumps favor if he is leading?

[ProudModerate2]

Stop making threads.

[Senator Spark]

Might as well ask how Trump is going to lose Texas, since that's more likely.

Trump is performing better in liberal states than in conservative ones.

New Jersey & New York are examples.

He's currently losing NJ by 11 points and NY by 20 in the polling aggregate. He's also trailing Romney's percentage in both. Next.

Don't use polls, they are rigged in her favor. Use other factors.

Are polls rigged in Trumps favor if he is leading?

Some are, yes.

[Incipimus iterum]

Might as well ask how Trump is going to lose Texas, since that's more likely.

Trump is performing better in liberal states than in conservative ones.

New Jersey & New York are examples.

He's currently losing NJ by 11 points and NY by 20 in the polling aggregate. He's also trailing Romney's percentage in both. Next.

Don't use polls, they are rigged in her favor. Use other factors.

Are polls rigged in Trumps favor if he is leading?

Some are, yes.

There you have it.

[Senator Spark]

There is a legitimate chance he can win statewide and CD2 while just losing CD1.

[jeron]

He doesn't

[Fitzgerald]

Maybe there is if you're living in the Methmobile. Seriously, stop saying words.

[Incipimus iterum]

Do you work for the Trump campaign by any chance. Cause if you are here to try and drum up support for Trump it's not working.

[No War, but the War on Christmas]

I think it's time for me to start a 'How does Clinton win Idaho' thread.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

[No War, but the War on Christmas]

You beat me to it; but I was going to say Idaho.

[RFK Jr.’s Brain Worm]

Go back in time, take back her statements on coal, get Evan McMullin on the ballot, and make Donald Trump say something about how Wyoming is a worthless state.

Yeah, good luck with that.

[AGA]

Even if Trump does manage to win ME-AL, the 270 firewall still holds.

Clinton: 270
Trump: 268

[‼realJohnEwards‼]

Yellowstone erupts.

[calvinhobbesliker]

Go back in time, take back her statements on coal, get Evan McMullin on the ballot, and make Donald Trump say something about how Wyoming is a worthless state.

Yeah, good luck with that.

Trump insulted Iowa and he still may win it.

[🦀🎂🦀🎂]

Find and capture the nefarious criminals D-Money, Smoothie and Shifty; and the State shall be his.

[LLR]

He can't jack up the margin in ME-2 enough to offset ME-1 - it's just not possible. ME-2 may be great for him, but there's no way it outvotes ME-1.

[Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin]

Video of Trump violently assaulting an attractive white woman.

[Badger]

Video of Trump violently assaulting an attractive white woman.

And even then I'd give Johnson 50/50 odds.

[Person Man]

When it is no longer a state.