Marquette Law Wisconsin: Feingold +2

[Classic Conservative]

Feingold: 46%
Johnson: 44%
Anderson: 4%

https://mobile.twitter.com/MULawPoll/status/786256376905412608

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Strong Lean D ----> Lean D

If Feingold loses, the R senate majority is Safe.

[Gass3268]

If Clinton is up 7, this is still Safe D.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

If Clinton is up 7, this is still Safe D.

Classic Atlas. If you don't think Feingold's team looks at this poll and screams in fear, you're beyond delusional.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

I was just waiting for one more poll to confirm it, but this race is a tossup!

[Gass3268]

If Clinton is up 7, this is still Safe D.

Classic Atlas. If you don't think Feingold's team looks at this poll and screams in fear, you're beyond delusional.

If Clinton is up 7, it will not matter, you can take that to the bank.

[KingSweden]

A curious result. Behavior from national parties and PACs would suggest this race is not this close

[Gass3268]

A curious result. Behavior from national parties and PACs would suggest this race is not this close

Exactly

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

I guess it's just different definitions of Safe D. My definition of Safe D is that there is a literally 0% chance of the race going R barring divine intervention, even if there's a sudden big shift in the electoral climate.

[Figueira]

A little concerning, but Feingold should win in the end.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

A little concerning, but Feingold should win in the end.

[Gass3268]

I guess it's just different definitions of Safe D. My definition of Safe D is that there is a literally 0% chance of the race going R barring divine intervention, even if there's a sudden big shift in the electoral climate.

Ok, then let's call it Likely D. There are just not enough vote splitters in Wisconsin.

Also if you look at the early vote right now, there have been big % increases in Dane and Milwaukee county compared to this time in 2012. You are not seeing the same numbers in the Republican counties.

[Xing]

Marquette has had better results for Johnson recently, so this isn't a huge swing in his favor. Unless this suddenly starts looking like a good year for Republicans again, and they start spending on this race, I'm not buying it being this close.

[Skye]

The hell happened here?

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

A curious result. Behavior from national parties and PACs would suggest this race is not this close

Exactly

And yet you dont apply the same logic to the FL race. Anyway, this is a Lean D race, but nothing would be more satisfying than seeing Atlas Democrats react to a Ron Johnson win, lol.

I, at least, am perfectly willing to say the same about Florida.

[windjammer]

A curious result. Behavior from national parties and PACs would suggest this race is not this close

Exactly

And yet you dont apply the same logic to the FL race. Anyway, this is a Lean D race, but nothing would be more satisfying than seeing Atlas Democrats react to a Ron Johnson win, lol.

I, at least, am perfectly willing to say the same about Florida.

Is it really needed to say things like that "I can't wait for seeing supporters of X when their candidate will lose"?

[Gass3268]

A curious result. Behavior from national parties and PACs would suggest this race is not this close

Exactly

And yet you dont apply the same logic to the FL race. Anyway, this is a Lean D race, but nothing would be more satisfying than seeing Atlas Democrats react to a Ron Johnson win, lol.

I have yet to say anything about Florida regarding this to the best of my knowledge. All I know is that Clinton attacked Rubio hard yesterday in her event in Miami for defending Trump.

[Vosem]

A curious result. Behavior from national parties and PACs would suggest this race is not this close

Exactly

And yet you dont apply the same logic to the FL race. Anyway, this is a Lean D race, but nothing would be more satisfying than seeing Atlas Democrats react to a Ron Johnson win, lol.

I have yet to say anything about Florida regarding this to the best of my knowledge. All I know is that Clinton attacked Rubio hard yesterday in her event in Miami for defending Trump.

I mean, at the Hillary rally I went to here in Ohio she spent a chunk of the speech talking up Ted Strickland. Doesn't mean he's not doomed.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

A curious result. Behavior from national parties and PACs would suggest this race is not this close

Exactly

And yet you dont apply the same logic to the FL race. Anyway, this is a Lean D race, but nothing would be more satisfying than seeing Atlas Democrats react to a Ron Johnson win, lol.

I, at least, am perfectly willing to say the same about Florida.

Is it really needed to say things like that "I can't wait for seeing supporters of X when their candidate will lose"?

I meant that I'm willing to apply the same logic ('party behavior suggests this race isn't this close') to the Florida race, not that I want to see Rubio supporters' tears. Sorry.

[JMT]

Polls have shown this race is tightening (for reasons I can't even think of, to be honest). I still expect Feingold to win, but damn this was not a race I expected to have to worry about in the slightest. That is scary. I wonder if the DSCC will go back into this race to pull Feingold across the finish line?

[windjammer]

A curious result. Behavior from national parties and PACs would suggest this race is not this close

Exactly

And yet you dont apply the same logic to the FL race. Anyway, this is a Lean D race, but nothing would be more satisfying than seeing Atlas Democrats react to a Ron Johnson win, lol.

I, at least, am perfectly willing to say the same about Florida.

Is it really needed to say things like that "I can't wait for seeing supporters of X when their candidate will lose"?

I meant that I'm willing to apply the same logic ('party behavior suggests this race isn't this close') to the Florida race, not that I want to see Rubio supporters' tears. Sorry.

My apologies for having misunderstood you.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

The reason why I don't consider party actions reason enough to have this Likely D is this is the state's gold standard poll. If they say the race is close, it's close. Also we have another poll showing Johnson ahead. No one has found Murphy to be ahead.

[Young Conservative]

A curious result. Behavior from national parties and PACs would suggest this race is not this close

Exactly

That happened before all these polls came out. I suspect more money to be poured in soon.

[Young Conservative]

Polls have shown this race is tightening (for reasons I can't even think of, to be honest). I still expect Feingold to win, but damn this was not a race I expected to have to worry about in the slightest. That is scary. I wonder if the DSCC will go back into this race to pull Feingold across the finish line?

Feingold has baggage and scandals. Johnson doesn't have any scandals other than quirkiness. Johnson also runs a great campaign with powerful ads.

[morgieb]

Bizarre turn of events. It's not like Hillary's dragging Feingold down either. Anyone know WTF is going on?