PA-Susquehanna: Toomey +4
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  PA-Susquehanna: Toomey +4
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Author Topic: PA-Susquehanna: Toomey +4  (Read 804 times)
100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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« on: October 10, 2016, 09:20:00 PM »

Toomey 42
McGinty 38

https://mgtvwhtm.files.wordpress.com/2016/10/toplines-statewideabc27-oct16.pdf
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1 on: October 10, 2016, 09:30:41 PM »

That's a lot of undecideds, did they not push anyone?
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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« Reply #2 on: October 10, 2016, 09:34:14 PM »

That's a lot of undecideds, did they not push anyone?

They have the libertarian candidate at 7%, with 12% undecided.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #3 on: October 10, 2016, 09:43:30 PM »

Susquehanna is not a good pollster. Their final 2012 poll was Casey +1, he won by 9.
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Pessimistic Antineutrino
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« Reply #4 on: October 10, 2016, 11:19:41 PM »

Very Republican sample, but Toomey overperforming Trump by 8 is encouraging.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #5 on: October 11, 2016, 02:00:54 AM »
« Edited: October 11, 2016, 02:04:35 AM by Ronnie »

It seems like Toomey is running about 8 points ahead of Trump in most polls.  That might be just enough for him to squeak by, assuming Trump doesn't get totally clocked nationally as yesterday's NBC/WSJ poll suggests.
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Shadows
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« Reply #6 on: October 11, 2016, 03:58:45 AM »

Too old a sample with a huge chunk of conservatives & also too white.

I think this race is a toss-up but Katie running behind Hillary by this amount is not good!
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Associate Justice PiT
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« Reply #7 on: October 12, 2016, 06:24:52 PM »

It seems like Toomey is running about 8 points ahead of Trump in most polls.  That might be just enough for him to squeak by, assuming Trump doesn't get totally clocked nationally as yesterday's NBC/WSJ poll suggests.

     The typical margins we see for PA Presidential polls would tend to suggest that Toomey outperforming Trump by 8 would put him neck-and-neck with McGinty.
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