Louisiana in 2008 and 2012 (user search)
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  Louisiana in 2008 and 2012 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Louisiana in 2008 and 2012  (Read 956 times)
AGA
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,290
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -5.39

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« on: October 08, 2016, 09:21:09 PM »
« edited: October 08, 2016, 09:50:53 PM by Chrome »

In 2008, the popular vote swung to the Democrats by an impressive 9 points, but Louisiana swung Republican, suggesting a strong Republican trend occurring in the state. However, in 2012, the popular vote swung Republican by over 3 points, and Louisiana swung Democratic. What caused these drastically different trends?
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AGA
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,290
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -5.39

P P
« Reply #1 on: October 08, 2016, 09:53:20 PM »

2008 can be explained by Katrina, as it disproportionately displaced African-Americans. 2012 can be explained by that same demographic returning home.

That is probably the main reason, but after checking the county map, I saw that the swings also happened in the some of inland areas of Louisiana that were less affected by Katrina.
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