ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
Posts: 21,102
Political Matrix E: 7.10, S: -7.65
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« on: October 09, 2016, 12:28:02 AM » |
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2008 can be explained by both a black electorate disproportionately affected by Katrina and also the Republican trend of whites (most harshly in Acadania). 2012 can be explained by the slight drop of white turnout and a slight increase in black turnout (+ Katrina effect was mostly over). No demographic swung Democratic, rather it was a difference in turnout (and can explain the democratic swing in Mississippi as well as a lack of Republican swing in other deep south states).
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