IL-GS Strategy Group (R): Duckworth +4

[MT Treasurer]

41% Tammy Duckworth (D)
37% Mark Kirk (R, inc.)

This is basically a Kirk internal, so yeah... not good for him.

https://www.scribd.com/document/326741685/Mark-Kirk-s-internal-polling

[MT Treasurer]

I saw this too, and was going to post it. This seat is gone.

Bold prediction: Duckworth wins this year, loses in 6 years to a Republican, who, in turn, loses to a Democrat in 2028.

While I'm aware that this seat has switched parties every cycle in the past since Braun lost to Fitzgerald, Duckworth isn't going to lose to a Republican in Illinois, even in a midterm.

The fact that she is WAY underperforming Clinton even as Trump is in the middle of what could be an implosion shows she is not as strong of a candidate as people think. If 2022 is at least a neutral year, Dold can win. Rodney Davis, Peter Roskam, and Adam Kinzinger are possibilities, but they're all pro-life and pro-gun, which will really hurt them.

Do you think a Democrat will be president in 2022?