How will Trump and Clinton do in Long Island, New York?
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  How will Trump and Clinton do in Long Island, New York?		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: How will Trump and Clinton do in Long Island, New York?  (Read 331 times)
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bronz4141
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« on: October 04, 2016, 10:11:36 AM »
How will Trump and Clinton do in Long Island? Who will win the two counties?
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Pyro
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« Reply #1 on: October 04, 2016, 10:58:08 AM »
Trump wins Suffolk, 51-46
Clinton takes Nassau, 49-47
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dspNY
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« Reply #2 on: October 04, 2016, 11:13:56 AM »
Clinton wins them both

Suffolk by 4 points
Nassau by 8 points
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Seriously?
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« Reply #3 on: October 04, 2016, 11:22:26 AM »
Trump wins them both, if you believe the poll of Long Island by Sienna/Newsday/News 12

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http://www.newsday.com/long-island/politics/donald-trump-has-lead-over-hillary-clinton-on-long-island-poll-says-1.12353584?pts=710077
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dspNY
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« Reply #4 on: October 04, 2016, 11:24:39 AM »

There was similar polling showing Romney in a strong position on the island in 2012 but Obama won both counties
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Seriously?
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« Reply #5 on: October 04, 2016, 11:45:05 AM »
Quote from: dspNY on October 04, 2016, 11:24:39 AM

There was similar polling showing Romney in a strong position on the island in 2012 but Obama won both counties
Donald Trump is no Mitt Romney. He's got roots here and does well amongst the ethnic groups that populate the Island.
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dspNY
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« Reply #6 on: October 04, 2016, 11:47:49 AM »
Quote from: Seriously? on October 04, 2016, 11:45:05 AM
Quote from: dspNY on October 04, 2016, 11:24:39 AM

There was similar polling showing Romney in a strong position on the island in 2012 but Obama won both counties
Donald Trump is no Mitt Romney. He's got roots here and does well amongst the ethnic groups that populate the Island.

Votes he gains with some working class ethnic whites will be offset by those he loses with nonwhites, the large Jewish population, and suburban women. It'll be a wash in the end...
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sentinel
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« Reply #7 on: October 04, 2016, 12:27:02 PM »
Clinton loses both counties narrowly.
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Arbitrage1980
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« Reply #8 on: October 04, 2016, 12:34:47 PM »
Quote from: sentinel on October 04, 2016, 12:27:02 PM
Clinton loses both counties narrowly.

Doubtful. Neither county has gone to a republican since HW Bush in 1988. Trump is going to get crushed with the affluent college educated voters.
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sentinel
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« Reply #9 on: October 04, 2016, 01:18:55 PM »
Quote from: Arbitrage1980 on October 04, 2016, 12:34:47 PM
Quote from: sentinel on October 04, 2016, 12:27:02 PM
Clinton loses both counties narrowly.

Doubtful. Neither county has gone to a republican since HW Bush in 1988. Trump is going to get crushed with the affluent college educated voters.

They've been close and Republicans have strong support locally. Don't underestimate the Republican machine on Long Island and how disliked Clinton is. I don't see a Republican landslide here, but there is enough support for them to overcome albeit narrowly.
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