What is the safest Liberal riding in Canada?

[Hatman 🍁]

No seat is truly safe in Canadian politics.

[Hatman 🍁]

For fun, we can take a look at the Liberal's best ridings per election:

2015: Bonavista-Burin-Trinity, NL (82%) [Winner: Judy Foote]
Liberal since: 2000
What would it take for the Liberals to lose? Screw over Newfoundland and have a moderate Tory leader.

2011: Bonavista-Gander-Grand Falls-Windsor, NL (58%) [Winner: Scott Simms]
Liberal since: 1974
Current riding: Coast of Bays-Central-Notre Dame
What would it take for the Liberals to lose? Screw over Newfoundland and have a moderate Tory leader.

2008: Bonavista-Gander-Grand Falls-Windsor, NL (70%) [Winner: Scott Simms]
(see 2011)

2006: Scarborough-Rouge River, ON (66%) [Winner: Derek Lee]
Liberal since: 2015
Current riding: Scarborough North
What would it take for the Liberals to lose? Well, they lost it in 2011 due to a popular Tamil candidate, and they just lost it provincially due to socially conservative wedge issues. Definitely not safe anymore!

2004: Mount Royal, QC (76%) [Winner: Irwin Cotler]
Liberal since: 1940
What would it take for the Liberals to lose? Tories came close to winning it in 2011. So, a popular Jewish candidate could win it with a very unpopular Liberal Party.

2000: Mount Royal, QC (81%) [Winner: Irwin Cotler]
(see 2004)

1997: Scarborough-Rouge River, ON (75%) [Winner: Derek Lee]
(see 2006)

1993: Mount Royal, QC (83%) [Winner: Sheila Finestone]
(see 2004)

1988: Glengarry-Prescott-Russell, ON (81%) [Winner: Don Boudria]
Liberal since: 2015
What would it take for the Liberals to lose? Well, it's a swing riding now, so not much.

[Hatman 🍁]

You're forgetting Vancouver East, which is safer than any of those ridings. It did go Liberal in 1993 though.

[Hatman 🍁]

You're forgetting Vancouver East, which is safer than any of those ridings. It did go Liberal in 1993 though.

Yeah, I don't think any of the 9 ridings won by the NDP in 1993 are held by them now, except for equivalent areas in Regina and Saskatoon (though the boundaries today are rather different).

The mid-section of Burnaby also went NDP in both 1993 and 2015.  In fact, the area around Burnaby Lake Regional Park has gone NDP since 1972. I'm fairly certain that's the longest any part of the country has voted NDP.

[Hatman 🍁]

Excuse my American ignorance, but what is a "riding"?

And is the Liberal Party or NDP considered more progressive nowadays?

A riding is a congressional district. And the NDP is and always has been more left wing.

[Hatman 🍁]

Ottawa-Vanier (formerly Ottawa East) has been held by the Liberals since 1935.  Mount Royal since 1940.

I guess this is the longest streak?

I wonder how many streaks were broken in 2011? I know Hull-Aymer had voted Liberal continuously from 1891 before the NDP won it in 2011.

[Hatman 🍁]

Brandon-Souris went Liberal in 1993.

[Hatman 🍁]

Yeah, in looking at the 1993 results, the Liberals did well in a few rural Saskatchewan seats (only winning in Souris-Moose Mountain but weren't far behind in most ridings). But, those days are long over.

[Hatman 🍁]

Speaking of Victoria, it was the only riding with a negative Liberal swing in 2015. Chalk it up to it being an NDP-Green race.