Hilldog
Rookie
Posts: 117
|
 |
« on: September 25, 2016, 10:02:42 PM » |
|
Trends don't go on forever so eventually NC will stop trending. Even now it's center right and the trend seems to be slow. There's an argument that it's 8 years behind VA, but VA has continued its trend. PA is actually about the same it's always been since the 50's. The key in PA is swayable votes. There's been elections where Republicans have won by 5, but PA is virtually tied. Meanwhile in 2008 Obama won it by only 4 points left of center. It trends to the middle, but when Democrats need the state, the votes are always there. This is due largely to the political money in Philadelphia. For Republicans to win PA they'd have to get better than 51% of the popular vote. This is pretty much the same for the 1960 election.
|
