Presidential Ratings and Predictions - New York
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Poll
Question: Rate New York and Predict Who Will Win
#1
Safe D		  
#2
Likely D		  
#3
Lean D		  
#4
Toss-Up		  
#5
Lean R		  
#6
Likely R		  
#7
Safe R		  
#8
Clinton		  
#9
Trump		  
#10
Other		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 110

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Author Topic: Presidential Ratings and Predictions - New York  (Read 2038 times)
ElectionsGuy
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« on: September 18, 2016, 12:00:07 AM »
Two votes. One for a rating (Safe D, Lean R, Toss-Up, etc.) and one for a prediction of who will win (Clinton, Trump, or Other).

Note: If you think Johnson/Other will win a state, just vote 'Other' and don't vote for a rating.

Update/vote in these threads if you haven't already! There's no time limit and you can still affect the overall result:

Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware District of Columbia Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine ME-01 ME-02 Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska NE-01 NE-02 NE-03 Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico

Ratings



Arizona: Toss-up --> Lean R
Colorado: Likely D --> Lean D

Safe Clinton: 145
Likely Clinton: 20
Lean Clinton: 16
Toss-Up: 36
Lean Trump: 37
Likely Trump: 18
Safe Trump: 50

Clinton: 181
Trump: 105
Toss-Up: 36

Predictions



Clinton: 217
Trump: 105

New York: Safe D, 62-35 Clinton, pretty much the same as 2012.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #1 on: September 18, 2016, 12:03:09 AM »
Safe D.

Yeah.
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user12345
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« Reply #2 on: September 18, 2016, 12:07:08 AM »
muh toss up becuz trump luvs ny and ny luvs trump Purple heart
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #3 on: September 18, 2016, 12:15:30 AM »
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evergreenarbor
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« Reply #4 on: September 18, 2016, 12:17:37 AM »
Safe D (sane).

Clinton: 59%
Trump: 35%
Johnson: 4%
Other: 2%
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #5 on: September 18, 2016, 12:22:52 AM »
Safe D, Hillary wins 60-36.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #6 on: September 18, 2016, 12:41:37 AM »
Quote from: evergreenarbor on September 18, 2016, 12:17:37 AM
Safe D (sane).

Clinton: 59%
Trump: 35%
Johnson: 4%
Other: 2%

NY is actually one of only a handful of states where I could see Stein edging out Johnson. She very nearly did so back in 2012.
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tinman64
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« Reply #7 on: September 18, 2016, 01:19:21 AM »
Safe D.

Clinton 60
Trump 37
Others 3
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President Johnson
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« Reply #8 on: September 18, 2016, 04:17:08 AM »
Safe Democratic.

Clinton: 57%
Trump: 40%
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Tiger front
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« Reply #9 on: September 18, 2016, 06:57:39 AM »
Safe D.
Clinton 61%
Trump 34%
Other 5%
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Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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« Reply #10 on: September 18, 2016, 10:51:04 AM »
Safe D.

My prediction:

✓ Clinton: 60.7%
Trump: 35.9%
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‼realJohnEwards‼
MatteKudasai
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« Reply #11 on: September 18, 2016, 10:52:18 AM »
Safe D. Clinton by 20 or so. Also, LOL at 4 Drumpf votes despite only 1 Likely and 1 Safe (wtf) R
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StatesPoll
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« Reply #12 on: September 18, 2016, 11:05:37 AM »


Hillary +13~17%

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An American Tail: Fubart Goes West
Fubart Solman
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« Reply #13 on: September 18, 2016, 01:04:24 PM »
Quote from: Eraserhead on September 18, 2016, 12:41:37 AM
Quote from: evergreenarbor on September 18, 2016, 12:17:37 AM
Safe D (sane).

Clinton: 59%
Trump: 35%
Johnson: 4%
Other: 2%

NY is actually one of only a handful of states where I could see Stein edging out Johnson. She very nearly did so back in 2012.

Johnson is on the ballot as both a Libertarian and with the Independence Party (granted they're separate elector slates unlike the other multiparty candidates like Trump and Clinton). I would be so sure of him losing to Stein in terms of the combined popular vote.

Also, Safe D. Anyone who says it isn't at this point is just crazy.
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #14 on: September 18, 2016, 01:41:28 PM »
Safe D.

Hillary Clinton 61%
Donald Trump 38%
Gary Johnson 3%
Jill Stein 2%

Watch out to see if Stein/Baraka can make a play in Williamsburg, Brooklyn, and parts of Bedford-Stuyvesant, Clinton Hill, Fort Greene, Brooklyn. Upstate New York may be swingy, though.

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/12/06/realestate/clinton-hill-brooklyn-a-neighborhood-in-transition.html?_r=0
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Breton Racer
Harrytruman48
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« Reply #15 on: September 18, 2016, 04:26:29 PM »
Safe D
Clinton-60.2%
Trump-34.1%
Other-5.7%
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dspNY
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« Reply #16 on: September 18, 2016, 04:29:17 PM »
Safe Dem, who are we kidding

Clinton 58
Trump 34
Stein 4
Johnson 4
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Wells
MikeWells12
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« Reply #17 on: September 18, 2016, 04:37:30 PM »
Safe D, Clinton 63-33
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AGA
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« Reply #18 on: September 18, 2016, 06:06:07 PM »
Safe D. Anyone who says otherwise is either being dishonest, does not know the state of the race, or does not know the political history of New York. It will probably swing Republican, however.

Clinton: 60%
Trump: 36%
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #19 on: September 19, 2016, 01:31:37 AM »
Quote from: TN volunteer on September 19, 2016, 12:51:40 AM
Almost the safest "New" state for Clinton Wink

You're right. Muh Latinos make New Mexico just a bit safer. Tongue
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
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« Reply #20 on: September 19, 2016, 02:03:59 AM »
Safe D, but California will be her safest state among the continental 48.

Clinton: 61
Trump: 34
Other: 5
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Senator-elect Spark
Spark498
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« Reply #21 on: September 24, 2016, 05:14:32 PM »
Safe D.

Clinton 57%
Trump 42%
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Fuzzy Bear
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« Reply #22 on: September 24, 2016, 07:49:15 PM »
Safe (D)

Clinton   57%
Trump    34%
Johnson    6%
Stein        2%
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Mr. Illini
liberty142
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E: -4.26, S: -3.30

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« Reply #23 on: September 24, 2016, 08:02:30 PM »
Trump will win it as part of his massive landslide!!!!!!!
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
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« Reply #24 on: September 25, 2016, 05:26:43 PM »
Safe D, Clinton 63-34
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