Who'll win Bergen County, New Jersey?
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  Who'll win Bergen County, New Jersey?
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Question: Who'll win Bergen County, New Jersey?
#1
Hillary Clinton
 
#2
Donald Trump
 
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Total Voters: 30

Author Topic: Who'll win Bergen County, New Jersey?  (Read 1655 times)
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bronz4141
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« on: September 14, 2016, 08:00:12 PM »

Who'll win Bergen County, New Jersey, one of the wealthiest counties in America? Barack Obama won Bergen with 55% of the vote in 2012 and 54% in 2008. Where are Trump's best areas in Bergen? Where are Clinton's?
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Pragmatic Conservative
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« Reply #1 on: September 14, 2016, 08:11:26 PM »

Clinton 53-44-3
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #2 on: September 14, 2016, 08:12:22 PM »

As a Bergen County resident, Hillary will win here easily. Its not so much a swing county anymore.
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cinyc
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« Reply #3 on: September 14, 2016, 08:18:37 PM »

Clinton will win it.  As to which areas will be Trump's best, I present the Nationwide PVI Map for Bergen County, New Jersey, with most towns labeled:



Of the Bergen towns, boroughs, etc., it looks like Franklin Lakes and Saddle River are the most Republican. There's a definite north-south divide in the county.

All of my PVI project maps are here.
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #4 on: September 14, 2016, 08:44:11 PM »

Clinton will win it.  As to which areas will be Trump's best, I present the Nationwide PVI Map for Bergen County, New Jersey, with most towns labeled:



Of the Bergen towns, boroughs, etc., it looks like Franklin Lakes and Saddle River are the most Republican. There's a definite north-south divide in the county.

All of my PVI project maps are here.


So some context, the Dem-friendly towns in Bergen county are working class with large immigrant populations (although still decently wealthy compared to other parts of the state). Those Republican towns in the northern part of the county are extremely wealthy, obscenely so in some cases.
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PulaskiSkywayDriver
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« Reply #5 on: September 14, 2016, 09:14:40 PM »

Trump wins because hes a good fit for the county, especially the swing areas in the Meadowlands. Close but I say 48-46.
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #6 on: September 14, 2016, 09:20:50 PM »

Trump wins because hes a good fit for the county, especially the swing areas in the Meadowlands. Close but I say 48-46.

He's not a good fit for the county, its 30% non-white.
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catographer
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« Reply #7 on: September 14, 2016, 10:58:07 PM »

Interestingly, while Obama won by 17.79% in 2012 statewide in New Jersey, he got 55.20% of the vote in Bergen county. In the 2014 Senate race, Booker won by 13.5% statewide yet won Bergen county with 57.3% of the vote. Bergen is trending Democratic; Clinton should do very, very well here even if she's winning by less than 10%.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #8 on: September 15, 2016, 12:38:43 AM »

Why would Trump be a 'good fit' for a wealthy fully suburban county like this? Clinton wins and I would even venture to say it trends Democratic.
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Horus
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« Reply #9 on: September 15, 2016, 12:42:03 AM »

High minority, the white people are pretty well educated and well off, and over 10% of the county is Jewish. This county will trend D, balancing out the parts of south Jersey that will probably trend R.
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