Which is more likely?
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  2016 U.S. Presidential Election
  Which is more likely?
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Poll
Question: in 2016
#1
Trump wins presidency
 
#2
Democrats win House
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 34

Author Topic: Which is more likely?  (Read 261 times)
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darthebearnc
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« on: September 14, 2016, 04:13:04 PM »

Huh
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elcorazon
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« Reply #1 on: September 14, 2016, 04:30:08 PM »

even on a good day Trump winning is more likely
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #2 on: September 14, 2016, 04:38:49 PM »

Trump winning is a bit more likely, but that was always the case.
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Figueira
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« Reply #3 on: September 14, 2016, 04:42:34 PM »

The awful reactionaries in the House have a better chance than Clinton, sadly.
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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« Reply #4 on: September 14, 2016, 04:44:28 PM »

Trump winning the presidency is looking 50/50 right now.   Democrats winning the house is like 15/85 at best right now.  Clearly Trump winning is more likely.

This race is nowhere near 50/50 unless Trump starts leading in some PA or NH polls.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #5 on: September 14, 2016, 04:53:22 PM »

Both equally likely because you didn't specify when.  Trump win = Speaker Becerra in 2019, but no chance of House flipping prior to 2022 with Clinton win.  No chance of flipping this year either war.

Did you not see the "in 2016" part? LOL
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Illiniwek
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« Reply #6 on: September 14, 2016, 05:46:48 PM »

We ain't winning the House any time soon.
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Buffalo Bill
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« Reply #7 on: September 14, 2016, 05:48:30 PM »

I don't know anyone who thinks the Democrats have a chance at winning back the House.  A Trump presidency is still less than 50/50 based on the Electoral College, but it's not impossible.  If this past week's trends continue, then he will be president.
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