OH-Bloomberg: Trump +5/+5

[Seriously?]

http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-09-14/ohio-poll

Trump 48 Clinton 43

Trump 43 Clinton 38 Johnston 10 Stein 3

It should technically be Trump 44, Clinton 39, Johnson 10, Stein 3, Undecided 4 on the 4-way, when you include leaners. The margin is the same.

With that said, this sample is heavily older, whiter and Republican than the state was in 2012. It's also a little more male (50/50 vs. 48/52). I'll take it though.

[Seriously?]

Problem for Trump is that even after he wins over NC IA OH and then perhaps FL, the next rung of states will be NV and NH which I will see as being very hard for him to flip unless there is another surge of support on top of the existing surge he is experiencing.  This will leave him short.

Eh, VA is more of a bellwether than most people on here give credit for. The PVI is Even. If Trump is in the lead, I'd expect it to be close or follow into the R camp as well.

NV seems more likely than NH at this point. ME-02 oddly seems to be to the right of NH.