OH-Bloomberg: Trump +5/+5 (user search)

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2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls

OH-Bloomberg: Trump +5/+5 (search mode)

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Topic: OH-Bloomberg: Trump +5/+5 (Read 5007 times)

jaichind
Atlas Star

Posts: 27,538

Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

	OH-Bloomberg: Trump +5/+5 « on: September 14, 2016, 04:23:05 AM »
	« edited: September 14, 2016, 04:24:49 AM by jaichind »

http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-09-14/ohio-poll

Trump 48 Clinton 43

Trump 43 Clinton 38 Johnston 10 Stein 3

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jaichind
Atlas Star

Posts: 27,538

Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

Re: OH-Bloomberg: Trump +5/+5

« Reply #1 on: September 14, 2016, 04:25:20 AM »

This lead vastly exceeds any lead Romney had in any poll in 2012 for OH after the Conventions.

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jaichind
Atlas Star

Posts: 27,538

Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

Re: OH-Bloomberg: Trump +5/+5

« Reply #2 on: September 14, 2016, 06:20:12 AM »

This poll was enough to push the RCP average for OH over to tilt Trump.

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jaichind
Atlas Star

Posts: 27,538

Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

Re: OH-Bloomberg: Trump +5/+5

« Reply #3 on: September 14, 2016, 08:46:40 AM »

538 nowcast and poll-plus mode also has OH going to Trump with this poll.

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jaichind
Atlas Star

Posts: 27,538

Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

Re: OH-Bloomberg: Trump +5/+5

« Reply #4 on: September 14, 2016, 08:48:31 AM »

Problem for Trump is that even after he wins over NC IA OH and then perhaps FL, the next rung of states will be NV and NH which I will see as being very hard for him to flip unless there is another surge of support on top of the existing surge he is experiencing. This will leave him short.

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