Who will win the presidency?

[Senator Cris]

A new poll after the facts of these days.
Who'll win? Maps are welcomed.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

You should add Kaine.

[Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden]

Like many Americans, I am DEEBLY GONCERNED that Trump will have either a stroke or heart attack before election day.  Hopefully the RNC is meeting right now to determine if Pence is prepared for such a tragic event.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

If anyone's answer to that has changed after today you're either a panic merchant or a moron.

[Monolith]

Clinton wont be out campaigning for a least a week, maybe two. It'll hurt her for a bit as we've seen in the polls two weeks ago when she wasn't campaigning, but if she at least recovers enough to make public appearances, she'll make it back up.

What'll be interesting to see is if she recovers in time for the debates.

[Ebowed]

Hillary Clinton will win the election.  It doesn't look like Donald Trump will even be on the ballot in Minnesota, which is an important state.  That's what you get for parading around Nigel Farage and a bunch of internet racists like a total clown.

This is a man who could literally be brought down by a voter asking an unscripted question at the 'town hall' debate about whether his hands are too small.  Too bad we probably won't get to see that.

Let's also address the notion that Clinton taking some rest would have a negative impact on her campaign.  The fact is, when Trump dominates the news, it's because he has done something outrageous, inept, offensive or all three.  You really think Trump can stay disciplined for an entire week?

[The Other Castro]

Seriously? Over 30% say Trump? Atlas really does have the attention span of a fish suffering from anterograde amnesia.

[MT Treasurer]

Too early to tell, ask me again after the first debate. Trump can definitely win, though.

[Del Tachi]

Too early to tell, ask me again after the first debate. Trump can definitely win, though.

[Phony Moderate]

Seriously? Over 30% say Trump? Atlas really does have the attention span of a fish suffering from anterograde amnesia.

Reminds me of when most of the forum thought Cruz had the nomination locked up after the Wisconsin primary.

Clinton is the favorite and will remain so until election day. Though that is not the same thing as being a certainty.

[Sir Mohamed]

Clinton.

The Trumpster's only path is to win PA, and I just see this now. Even if the race is closer than expected, I just don't see a reliable path to the magic 270 electoral votes for him.

[StatesPoll]

Clinton.

The Trumpster's only path is to win PA, and I just see this now. Even if the race is closer than expected, I just don't see a reliable path to the magic 270 electoral votes for him.

Wrong.

Romney 2012 (206) + FL( 29) + OH( 18) + IA( 6) + ME2( 1) = 260
TRUMP could add WI( 10) or NV(6)&NH(4) or MI( 16) or CO(9)&NH(4) or CO(9)&NV(6)

TRUMP still has a path withoug PA

Reuters/Ipsos Colorado Poll. 417 LV.  8/26-9/8:  TRUMP 43% | Hillary 41%
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/colorado/#plus

Perhaps TRUMP could flip New Mexico as latest Polls.
Google Consumer. 215 LV.  8/31-9/6:  TRUMP 30% | Hillary 27% | Johnson 18%
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/new-mexico/#plus

[Sir Mohamed]

Clinton.

The Trumpster's only path is to win PA, and I just see this now. Even if the race is closer than expected, I just don't see a reliable path to the magic 270 electoral votes for him.

Wrong.

Romney 2012 (206) + FL( 29) + OH( 18) + IA( 6) + ME2( 1) = 260
TRUMP could add WI( 10) or NV(6)&NH(4) or MI( 16) or CO(9)&NH(4) or CO(9)&NV(6)

TRUMP still has a path withoug PA

Reuters/Ipsos Colorado Poll. 417 LV.  8/26-9/8:  TRUMP 43% | Hillary 41%
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/colorado/#plus

Perhaps TRUMP could flip New Mexico as latest Polls.
Google Consumer. 215 LV.  8/31-9/6:  TRUMP 30% | Hillary 27% | Johnson 18%
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/new-mexico/#plus

MI, WI, CO and NH won't happen. The demographic trends and voting patterns are not in your hero's favor in these states. This is the bad news.

[StatesPoll]

Clinton.

The Trumpster's only path is to win PA, and I just see this now. Even if the race is closer than expected, I just don't see a reliable path to the magic 270 electoral votes for him.

Wrong.

Romney 2012 (206) + FL( 29) + OH( 18) + IA( 6) + ME2( 1) = 260
TRUMP could add WI( 10) or NV(6)&NH(4) or MI( 16) or CO(9)&NH(4) or CO(9)&NV(6)

TRUMP still has a path withoug PA

Reuters/Ipsos Colorado Poll. 417 LV.  8/26-9/8:  TRUMP 43% | Hillary 41%
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/colorado/#plus

Perhaps TRUMP could flip New Mexico as latest Polls.
Google Consumer. 215 LV.  8/31-9/6:  TRUMP 30% | Hillary 27% | Johnson 18%
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/new-mexico/#plus

MI, WI, CO and NH won't happen. The demographic trends and voting patterns are not in your hero's favor in these states. This is the bad news.

oh really?
Latest Poll, which TRUMP won or tied.

1. Michigan:
Reuters/Ipsos. 494 LV.  8/19-9/1:  TRUMP 42% | Hillary 42%
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/michigan/#plus
Mohamed's liberal hero, Nate Silver adjusted this poll as TRUMP +1%

2. Wisconsin:
Reuters/Ipsos. 523 LV.  8/26-9/8:  TRUMP 40% | Hillary 38%
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/wisconsin/#plus
Mohamed's liberal hero, Nate Silver adjusted this poll as TRUMP +2%

3. Colorado
Reuters/Ipsos. 417 LV.  8/26-9/8:  TRUMP 43% | Hillary 41%
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/colorado/#plus
Mohamed's liberal hero, Nate Silver adjusted this poll as TRUMP +3%

how can you sure, TRUMP gonna lose all MI/WI/CO?
in my opinion he will win at least one of those states .

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

Clinton.

The only people who think Trump will win are those white males who go to a expensive college and they take advantage of passed out girls.

[Senator Cris]

Clinton.

The only people who think Trump will win are those white males who go to a expensive college and they take advantage of passed out girls.

What a respectful post!

[‼realJohnEwards‼]

Clinton.

The Trumpster's only path is to win PA, and I just see this now. Even if the race is closer than expected, I just don't see a reliable path to the magic 270 electoral votes for him.

Wrong.

Romney 2012 (206) + FL( 29) + OH( 18) + IA( 6) + ME2( 1) = 260
TRUMP could add WI( 10) or NV(6)&NH(4) or MI( 16) or CO(9)&NH(4) or CO(9)&NV(6)

TRUMP still has a path withoug PA

Reuters/Ipsos Colorado Poll. 417 LV.  8/26-9/8:  TRUMP 43% | Hillary 41%
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/colorado/#plus

Perhaps TRUMP could flip New Mexico as latest Polls.
Google Consumer. 215 LV.  8/31-9/6:  TRUMP 30% | Hillary 27% | Johnson 18%
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/new-mexico/#plus

MI, WI, CO and NH won't happen. The demographic trends and voting patterns are not in your hero's favor in these states. This is the bad news.

oh really?
Latest Poll, which TRUMP won or tied.

1. Michigan:
Reuters/Ipsos. 494 LV.  8/19-9/1:  TRUMP 42% | Hillary 42%
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/michigan/#plus
Mohamed's liberal hero, Nate Silver adjusted this poll as TRUMP +1%

2. Wisconsin:
Reuters/Ipsos. 523 LV.  8/26-9/8:  TRUMP 40% | Hillary 38%
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/wisconsin/#plus
Mohamed's liberal hero, Nate Silver adjusted this poll as TRUMP +2%

3. Colorado
Reuters/Ipsos. 417 LV.  8/26-9/8:  TRUMP 43% | Hillary 41%
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/colorado/#plus
Mohamed's liberal hero, Nate Silver adjusted this poll as TRUMP +3%

how can you sure, TRUMP gonna lose all MI/WI/CO?
in my opinion he will win at least one of those states .

OK, what about this.

The Washington Post and SurveyMonkey conducted a 50-state poll too (same as Reuters). They found Clinton up 1 in Texas, 46-45. Does this mean that Trump is completely doomed? By your standards, yes.

[Mallow]

Clinton.

The Trumpster's only path is to win PA, and I just see this now. Even if the race is closer than expected, I just don't see a reliable path to the magic 270 electoral votes for him.

Wrong.

Romney 2012 (206) + FL( 29) + OH( 18) + IA( 6) + ME2( 1) = 260
TRUMP could add WI( 10) or NV(6)&NH(4) or MI( 16) or CO(9)&NH(4) or CO(9)&NV(6)

TRUMP still has a path withoug PA

Reuters/Ipsos Colorado Poll. 417 LV.  8/26-9/8:  TRUMP 43% | Hillary 41%
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/colorado/#plus

Perhaps TRUMP could flip New Mexico as latest Polls.
Google Consumer. 215 LV.  8/31-9/6:  TRUMP 30% | Hillary 27% | Johnson 18%
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/new-mexico/#plus

MI, WI, CO and NH won't happen. The demographic trends and voting patterns are not in your hero's favor in these states. This is the bad news.

oh really?
Latest Poll, which TRUMP won or tied.

1. Michigan:
Reuters/Ipsos. 494 LV.  8/19-9/1:  TRUMP 42% | Hillary 42%
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/michigan/#plus
Mohamed's liberal hero, Nate Silver adjusted this poll as TRUMP +1%

2. Wisconsin:
Reuters/Ipsos. 523 LV.  8/26-9/8:  TRUMP 40% | Hillary 38%
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/wisconsin/#plus
Mohamed's liberal hero, Nate Silver adjusted this poll as TRUMP +2%

3. Colorado
Reuters/Ipsos. 417 LV.  8/26-9/8:  TRUMP 43% | Hillary 41%
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/colorado/#plus
Mohamed's liberal hero, Nate Silver adjusted this poll as TRUMP +3%

how can you sure, TRUMP gonna lose all MI/WI/CO?
in my opinion he will win at least one of those states .

The Ipsos polls you quoted are all the most Trump-favorable outliers in those states, and they are also some of the only ones that don't include Johnson. In a scenario where Trump wins one of those states, he's probably also winning PA, making your original assertion moot.

[‼realJohnEwards‼]

Anyway, we all know that Evan McMullin is going to win anyway. No point having these threads

[Senator Spark]

Trump by 3

[Ebowed]

Clinton.

The only people who think Trump will win are those white males who go to a expensive college and they take advantage of passed out girls.

Good point.

[Horus]

Clinton wins the PV, Trump wins the EV.

[StatesPoll]

Clinton.

The Trumpster's only path is to win PA, and I just see this now. Even if the race is closer than expected, I just don't see a reliable path to the magic 270 electoral votes for him.

Wrong.

Romney 2012 (206) + FL( 29) + OH( 18) + IA( 6) + ME2( 1) = 260
TRUMP could add WI( 10) or NV(6)&NH(4) or MI( 16) or CO(9)&NH(4) or CO(9)&NV(6)

TRUMP still has a path withoug PA

Reuters/Ipsos Colorado Poll. 417 LV.  8/26-9/8:  TRUMP 43% | Hillary 41%
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/colorado/#plus

Perhaps TRUMP could flip New Mexico as latest Polls.
Google Consumer. 215 LV.  8/31-9/6:  TRUMP 30% | Hillary 27% | Johnson 18%
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/new-mexico/#plus

MI, WI, CO and NH won't happen. The demographic trends and voting patterns are not in your hero's favor in these states. This is the bad news.

oh really?
Latest Poll, which TRUMP won or tied.

1. Michigan:
Reuters/Ipsos. 494 LV.  8/19-9/1:  TRUMP 42% | Hillary 42%
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/michigan/#plus
Mohamed's liberal hero, Nate Silver adjusted this poll as TRUMP +1%

2. Wisconsin:
Reuters/Ipsos. 523 LV.  8/26-9/8:  TRUMP 40% | Hillary 38%
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/wisconsin/#plus
Mohamed's liberal hero, Nate Silver adjusted this poll as TRUMP +2%

3. Colorado
Reuters/Ipsos. 417 LV.  8/26-9/8:  TRUMP 43% | Hillary 41%
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/colorado/#plus
Mohamed's liberal hero, Nate Silver adjusted this poll as TRUMP +3%

how can you sure, TRUMP gonna lose all MI/WI/CO?
in my opinion he will win at least one of those states .

OK, what about this.

The Washington Post and SurveyMonkey conducted a 50-state poll too (same as Reuters). They found Clinton up 1 in Texas, 46-45. Does this mean that Trump is completely doomed? By your standards, yes.

But That WP/SurveyMonkey Texas poll conducted during Aug,9th~September 1st
about half of the length = Worst period for TRUMP(Khan, etc)

let me show you latest texas Polls

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/texas/#plus

Reuters/Ipsos. Texas. 405 LV.  9/2-9/8:  TRUMP 48% | Hillary 31%
Google Consumer Surveys. Texas. 1170 LV.  9/2-9/8:  TRUMP 40% | Hillary 31% | Johnson 9%
Reuters/Ipsos. Texas. 402 LV.  8/26-9/1:  TRUMP 49% | Hillary 32%

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Clinton wins the PV, Trump wins the EV.

LOLz...

[Enduro]

I honestly don't know. Clinton's leading in polls, but she's not getting very good turnout for rallies. Either the polls are skewed, or most of her supporters aren't actual supporters. They're just people who don't want Trump to win. If they don't turn up for the rallies, then there is a decreased likelyhood that they'll turn out on Election Day.

Most of America probably wants Clinton over Trump, but Trump has more dedicated supporters who are more likely to show up to the polls.