NC-Suffolk: Trump +3

[Erich Maria Remarque]

This takes NC to slight Rep on the Atlas map.

Q-poll takes it right back

https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/773962753778323456
Harry Enten from 538 seems to think Suffolk has it weighted better than Quinnipiac, 69% white vs Q's 64% white (it was 71% in 2012).

I expect red hacks to be as unskew'ish as they were towards CNN

[pbrower2a]

This and Q suggest a virtual tie in North Carolina... except that these pollsters have a slight R house effect.

[NOVA Green]

This and Q suggest a virtual tie in North Carolina... except that these pollsters have a slight R house effect.

[john cage bubblegum]

It's really not that hard a concept, but it seems some people have trouble with it. 

I DO understand the concept, which is the reason why SC can't be a Tossup when NC is Trump +3.

Right, but the people who thought SC was a tossup (or tilt R) were thinking that when the national race was Clinton +7 as opposed to its current state.  I mean anyone who thinks SC is a tossup right now is being pretty silly.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

NC will go to Trump.