MO-Remington Research: Koster +4
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  MO-Remington Research: Koster +4
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Author Topic: MO-Remington Research: Koster +4  (Read 2589 times)
MT Treasurer
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« on: September 06, 2016, 01:55:59 PM »
« edited: September 06, 2016, 02:02:09 PM by TN volunteer »

Governor

Chris Koster (D): 46%
Eric Greitens (R): 42%

Lieutenant Governor

Mike Parson (R): 44%
Russ Carnahan (D): 41%

Attorney General

Josh Hawley (R): 47%
Teresa Hensley (D): 41%

Secretary Of State

Jay Ashcroft (R): 46%
Robin Smith (D): 41%

State Treasurer

Eric Schmitt (R): 45%
Judy Baker (D): 36%

The poll was taken Sept. 1 and Sept. 2, before Koster was endorsed by the National Rifle Association. It polled 1,275 likely voters and was commissioned by MoScout.

http://themissouritimes.com/33365/poll-shows-republicans-koster-well/
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LLR
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« Reply #1 on: September 06, 2016, 02:03:47 PM »

Yeah, this race is Lean D for sure
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #2 on: September 06, 2016, 02:33:06 PM »

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Heisenberg
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« Reply #3 on: September 06, 2016, 03:04:33 PM »

It would've been Tilt D before. Now Likely D, I think. The Lieutenant Governor numbers are encouraging, but I think Carnahan squeaks by in the end. I do expect Republicans to pick up the other 3 offices.
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windjammer
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« Reply #4 on: September 06, 2016, 03:58:24 PM »

I don't know why but I feel optimistic about MO dems.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #5 on: September 06, 2016, 04:30:13 PM »

Your presidential prediction is completely unrealistic. Your senate prediction could be good though. Blunt's approvals aren't the highest, but Kander isn't a moderate by any stretch of the word - he's basically in complete lockstep with Clinton. It would be interesting to see how Blunt would have done if Zweifel (the retiring state treasurer) had ran instead.
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Xing
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« Reply #6 on: September 06, 2016, 05:11:11 PM »

Wow, maybe this race really is Lean D, considering how bad of a poll this was for Hillary and Kander.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #7 on: September 06, 2016, 05:28:05 PM »

Wouldn't be surprised if the Dems run the table at this point.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #8 on: September 06, 2016, 05:37:18 PM »

Wouldn't be surprised if the Dems run the table at this point.

That treasurer race looks unwinnable.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #9 on: September 06, 2016, 07:56:06 PM »

If Republicans run the board (all lower offices, governor, senator, president), Missouri's transformation into Arkansas is complete. McCaskill being blanched will be the icing on the cake.
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« Reply #10 on: September 06, 2016, 09:09:03 PM »

If Republicans run the board (all lower offices, governor, senator, president), Missouri's transformation into Arkansas is complete. McCaskill being blanched will be the icing on the cake.

And yet Koster leads in this poll and all others, the presidential race will be close, and the senate race will be close.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #11 on: September 06, 2016, 09:24:44 PM »

To be clear, I'm not predicting that such a sweep will occur, but if it somehow does, then the MO Dems are dead.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #12 on: September 06, 2016, 11:08:45 PM »

Missouri must be one of the most dynastic states in the union.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #13 on: September 07, 2016, 12:29:55 AM »

To be clear, I'm not predicting that such a sweep will occur, but if it somehow does, then the MO Dems are dead.
I doubt it. KC and STL will keep Missouri at least semi-competitive. I agree that it will continue to get harder for them to win statewide, but I think it would be closer to being like Indiana, where Democrats can win but only in special circumstances.
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #14 on: September 07, 2016, 12:34:26 AM »

To be clear, I'm not predicting that such a sweep will occur, but if it somehow does, then the MO Dems are dead.
I doubt it. KC and STL will keep Missouri at least semi-competitive. I agree that it will continue to get harder for them to win statewide, but I think it would be closer to being like Indiana, where Democrats can win but only in special circumstances.
I think Trump being on the ballot helps Koster. But ouch, losing the Farm Bureau and then the NRA endorsements was a double sting for Greitens.
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