MD Gov: Hogan Continues to be Very Popular

[Kevin]

http://www.baltimoresun.com/news/maryland/politics/blog/bal-maryland-gov-larry-hogan-popularity-poll-20160906-story.html

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Yeah, so far it looks like he'll hang on in 2018. Still plenty of time for things to change though.

[swf541]

Yeah, so far it looks like he'll hang on in 2018. Still plenty of time for things to change though.

Also highly depends on who runs against him

[Pandaguineapig]

He could still lose in 2018 with a president trump and a strong challenger

[Kingpoleon]

He could still lose in 2018 with a president trump and a strong challenger

The only real Democratic bench here is Martin O'Malley, Anthony Brown, Ken Ulman, John Sarbane, Mark Shriver, and the Mosbys.

[Gass3268]

He could still lose in 2018 with a president trump and a strong challenger

The only real Democratic bench here is Martin O'Malley, Anthony Brown, Ken Ulman, John Sarbane, Mark Shriver, and the Mosbys.

There have been rumblings about John Delaney (MD-06) running in 2018. He could self fund too.

[Heisenberg]

He could still lose in 2018 with a president trump and a strong challenger

The only real Democratic bench here is Martin O'Malley, Anthony Brown, Ken Ulman, John Sarbane, Mark Shriver, and the Mosbys.

There have been rumblings about John Delaney (MD-06) running in 2018. He could self fund too.

Especially if the courts order redistributing due to the pending lawsuit. His district is the one being sued, no way a nonpartisan panel will consider the current MD-06 fair.

[Xing]

Not surprising. If he runs in 2018 (let's be honest, that's not certain) he'll probably win without breaking much of a sweat.

[smoltchanov]

He could still lose in 2018 with a president trump and a strong challenger

The only real Democratic bench here is Martin O'Malley, Anthony Brown, Ken Ulman, John Sarbane, Mark Shriver, and the Mosbys.

There have been rumblings about John Delaney (MD-06) running in 2018. He could self fund too.

He already said that he doesn't. And he must win reelection first. Would he had this year opponent in 2014 he would surely lose. But, of course, in Presidential year, his chances are much better..

[Kevin]

Not surprising. If he runs in 2018 (let's be honest, that's not certain) he'll probably win without breaking much of a sweat.

I think Hogan wins in 18 if his approvals hold and Clinton is in the White House.

Ehrlich lost in 2006 because he had so-so approvals(decent but not good) and faced backlash for being a Republican in a red state in an anti-Republican year nationally.

[warandwar]

Not surprising. If he runs in 2018 (let's be honest, that's not certain) he'll probably win without breaking much of a sweat.

I think Hogan wins in 18 if his approvals hold and Clinton is in the White House.

Ehrlich lost in 2006 because he had so-so approvals(decent but not good) and faced backlash for being a Republican in a red state in an anti-Republican year nationally.

Clinton being in the White House has nothing to do with it. Maryland is totally blue on the presidential level. Ehrlich, in addition to what you said, was also just really personally unpleasant.

[warandwar]

He could still lose in 2018 with a president trump and a strong challenger

The only real Democratic bench here is Martin O'Malley, Anthony Brown, Ken Ulman, John Sarbane, Mark Shriver, and the Mosbys.

There have been rumblings about John Delaney (MD-06) running in 2018. He could self fund too.

"Rumblings" lol. Everyone knows Delaney is running, he's already commissioned polls, lol.

Your bench: O'Malley is not ever running for anything again, Brown is gonna be in Congress, Ulman maybe, Sarbanes is staying in congress, Shriver lol no, Mosbys are staying in Bmore.

Mizeur is very likely to run and has a lot of good will (everyone believes we'd have beat Hogan with her as the nominee). Cummings could run, but prolly won't, same for Dutch.

[Lothal1]

The GOAT.

[Vosem]

He could still lose in 2018 with a president trump and a strong challenger

The only real Democratic bench here is Martin O'Malley, Anthony Brown, Ken Ulman, John Sarbane, Mark Shriver, and the Mosbys.

There have been rumblings about John Delaney (MD-06) running in 2018. He could self fund too.

"Rumblings" lol. Everyone knows Delaney is running, he's already commissioned polls, lol.

Your bench: O'Malley is not ever running for anything again, Brown is gonna be in Congress, Ulman maybe, Sarbanes is staying in congress, Shriver lol no, Mosbys are staying in Bmore.

Mizeur is very likely to run and has a lot of good will (everyone believes we'd have beat Hogan with her as the nominee). Cummings could run, but prolly won't, same for Dutch.

Is Delaney definitely running, or is there a chance he sits and waits for 2022, especially if it looks like Hogan is polling well? I understand Mizeur needs a way to stay in the conversation, but it seems like Delaney has more to gain by waiting for a later date.

Are there any rumors of Cardin retiring, or is that seen as unlikely? Could a national figure like O'Malley or Perez replace him?

[Heisenberg]

He could still lose in 2018 with a president trump and a strong challenger

The only real Democratic bench here is Martin O'Malley, Anthony Brown, Ken Ulman, John Sarbane, Mark Shriver, and the Mosbys.

There have been rumblings about John Delaney (MD-06) running in 2018. He could self fund too.

"Rumblings" lol. Everyone knows Delaney is running, he's already commissioned polls, lol.

Your bench: O'Malley is not ever running for anything again, Brown is gonna be in Congress, Ulman maybe, Sarbanes is staying in congress, Shriver lol no, Mosbys are staying in Bmore.

Mizeur is very likely to run and has a lot of good will (everyone believes we'd have beat Hogan with her as the nominee). Cummings could run, but prolly won't, same for Dutch.

Is Delaney definitely running, or is there a chance he sits and waits for 2022, especially if it looks like Hogan is polling well? I understand Mizeur needs a way to stay in the conversation, but it seems like Delaney has more to gain by waiting for a later date.

Are there any rumors of Cardin retiring, or is that seen as unlikely? Could a national figure like O'Malley or Perez replace him?

If Cardin retires, wouldn't Sarbanes want to run for his father's old seat? He also represents MD-03, the seat both Cardin and Mikulski once held (it's common for Representatives from that seat to run for Senate).

[Kingpoleon]

He could still lose in 2018 with a president trump and a strong challenger

The only real Democratic bench here is Martin O'Malley, Anthony Brown, Ken Ulman, John Sarbane, Mark Shriver, and the Mosbys.

There have been rumblings about John Delaney (MD-06) running in 2018. He could self fund too.

"Rumblings" lol. Everyone knows Delaney is running, he's already commissioned polls, lol.

Your bench: O'Malley is not ever running for anything again, Brown is gonna be in Congress, Ulman maybe, Sarbanes is staying in congress, Shriver lol no, Mosbys are staying in Bmore.

Mizeur is very likely to run and has a lot of good will (everyone believes we'd have beat Hogan with her as the nominee). Cummings could run, but prolly won't, same for Dutch.

Why won't O'Malley run for something? As for Brown, he might just be trying to get more recognition and experience. Sarbanes is ambitious, and if the Democratic primary for Senate in 2018 is crowded, he might jump for Governor. Shriver has ambitions on political office. The Mosbys should consider one of them running for Attorney General.

[Lothal1]

He could still lose in 2018 with a president trump and a strong challenger

The only real Democratic bench here is Martin O'Malley, Anthony Brown, Ken Ulman, John Sarbane, Mark Shriver, and the Mosbys.

There have been rumblings about John Delaney (MD-06) running in 2018. He could self fund too.

"Rumblings" lol. Everyone knows Delaney is running, he's already commissioned polls, lol.

Your bench: O'Malley is not ever running for anything again, Brown is gonna be in Congress, Ulman maybe, Sarbanes is staying in congress, Shriver lol no, Mosbys are staying in Bmore.

Mizeur is very likely to run and has a lot of good will (everyone believes we'd have beat Hogan with her as the nominee). Cummings could run, but prolly won't, same for Dutch.

Why won't O'Malley run for something? As for Brown, he might just be trying to get more recognition and experience. Sarbanes is ambitious, and if the Democratic primary for Senate in 2018 is crowded, he might jump for Governor. Shriver has ambitions on political office. The Mosbys should consider one of them running for Attorney General.

He lost the last of his popular mandate by running for president.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

After the 2014 Debacle, Brown will probably just sit in that Utterly Safe D house seat for the rest of his career.

[warandwar]

He could still lose in 2018 with a president trump and a strong challenger

The only real Democratic bench here is Martin O'Malley, Anthony Brown, Ken Ulman, John Sarbane, Mark Shriver, and the Mosbys.

There have been rumblings about John Delaney (MD-06) running in 2018. He could self fund too.

"Rumblings" lol. Everyone knows Delaney is running, he's already commissioned polls, lol.

Your bench: O'Malley is not ever running for anything again, Brown is gonna be in Congress, Ulman maybe, Sarbanes is staying in congress, Shriver lol no, Mosbys are staying in Bmore.

Mizeur is very likely to run and has a lot of good will (everyone believes we'd have beat Hogan with her as the nominee). Cummings could run, but prolly won't, same for Dutch.

Is Delaney definitely running, or is there a chance he sits and waits for 2022, especially if it looks like Hogan is polling well? I understand Mizeur needs a way to stay in the conversation, but it seems like Delaney has more to gain by waiting for a later date.

Are there any rumors of Cardin retiring, or is that seen as unlikely? Could a national figure like O'Malley or Perez replace him?

Delaney is definitely running. No doubt about it. Someone like him isn't deterred by "odds" or "likeability." Why else would he hire a truck to drive around Hogan's house, asking him if he still supported Trump?

Cardin could retire, but he'll probably stick it out another term. Perez (who is great) could certainly replace him. O'Malley's problem is that he has been utterly discredited, thanks to the DOJ report and his complete flop in the primary.

To others: Sarbanes is not ambitious. He is one of the most laid back people I've ever met. I trust the Mosbys and hope they'll stay in Baltimore.

[ElectionsGuy]

He keeps that up and he'll crush any hopes the Democrats had of defeating him.