Trump +2 in CNN/ORC National Poll

[Fusionmunster]

Sort of surprised they decided to poll over the holiday weekend. I feel like that could alter some of the results they get, with so many people not at home.

Probably why the id is so off. Going back to 2012, CNN/ORC polled during labor day weekend and found the race tied then polled a week later and it was +6 Obama. CNN knows what it was doing polling during a holiday.

[Fusionmunster]

Speech + Mexico trip

Explain this?

Probably more to do with Labor day weekend then anything else.

[Fusionmunster]

I do hope they release a poll after this one soon. They seemed alot more active in 2012.

[Fusionmunster]

Not sure what America you are polling to end up with a R+4 sample.

They polled over a holiday weekend.

[Fusionmunster]

So CNN has a habit of polling over Labor Day weekend:

2008 - They released a poll taken during 8/29 - 8/31 showing Obama up +1.
2012 - They release a poll taken between 8/31 - 9/3 and showed a tied race.
2016 - We have this R-heavy poll taken over Labor Day weekend.

Edit: If someone wants to tell me they are not doing this on purpose then by all means.

[Fusionmunster]

I admit, I hue'd.

[Fusionmunster]

Even if the electorate looks exactly like 2012, a four point lead two months out is not at all secure and Clinton should be very worried.

Concern noted.

[Fusionmunster]

Not worried as when Clinton was under the gun with FBI.

Clinton had a bad week, and the poll was taken over Labor Day weekend. Im gonna wait to worry.