Morning Consult weekly: Clinton+2 (user search)
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  Morning Consult weekly: Clinton+2 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Morning Consult weekly: Clinton+2  (Read 2569 times)
Fusionmunster
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« on: September 04, 2016, 06:04:09 AM »

Hard to believe it is so close...You'd think Clinton would be 8-10 points ahead and running away with it.

Nope, I actually thought Trump would be leading in the Morning Consult poll after last week.
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Fusionmunster
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Posts: 2,483


« Reply #1 on: September 04, 2016, 07:35:29 AM »
« Edited: September 04, 2016, 07:37:03 AM by Fusionmunster »

What did Hillary say or do to have her numbers collapse?

Nothing, last week was just bad for her(email news) topped off with the fbi report. The fact that shes still leading in the Morning Consult poll, one of Trumps friendliest polls, after last week is a good sign she'll recover.
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Fusionmunster
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Posts: 2,483


« Reply #2 on: September 04, 2016, 08:16:43 AM »

Since Jerry quoted you Octopus (which means I can see your post) i'll respond. The house effect on the 538 model that you take as gospel shows they dont have a bias, thats fine. However, as a strictly online pollster they've continually shown the race closer then live phone interview polls.
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Fusionmunster
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Posts: 2,483


« Reply #3 on: September 04, 2016, 08:24:49 AM »

Morning Consult is definitely not a Trump-friendy pollster, lol.

Outside of the post convention bump, they have shown this race as low single digits throughout the campaign. They even gave Trump a +4 lead.
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Fusionmunster
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Posts: 2,483


« Reply #4 on: September 04, 2016, 08:31:43 AM »
« Edited: September 04, 2016, 08:37:09 AM by Fusionmunster »

Morning Consult is definitely not a Trump-friendy pollster, lol.

Outside of the post convention bump, they have shown this race as low single digits throughout the campaign. They even gave Trump a +4 lead.

So ?

After the DNC, they had Hillary up by 10. Like all the other pollsters ...

They've had the race within the margin of error since July(actually since May but the primaries were still a thing). They are a Trump friendly pollster.
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Fusionmunster
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Posts: 2,483


« Reply #5 on: September 04, 2016, 08:34:50 AM »

Morning Consult is definitely not a Trump-friendy pollster, lol.

Yes they are, they've had this race within the MoE for a majority of the campaign.
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Fusionmunster
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Posts: 2,483


« Reply #6 on: September 04, 2016, 08:44:08 AM »

Morning Consult is definitely not a Trump-friendy pollster, lol.

Yes they are, they've had this race within the MoE for a majority of the campaign.

Believe what you want, but maybe it's because the race is (or was) within the MoE for most of the campaign (excl. the 2 weeks after the DNC) ?

Also, MC being a pro-Trump pollster is crazy ... look here:

https://morningconsult.com/trump-vs-clinton-conventions-electoral-college-map/

It wasnt, and Morning Consult making an electoral map is like Reuters making an electoral map, useless.
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Fusionmunster
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Posts: 2,483


« Reply #7 on: September 04, 2016, 08:48:23 AM »

Morning Consult is definitely not a Trump-friendy pollster, lol.

Yes they are, they've had this race within the MoE for a majority of the campaign.

I also remember them showing Clinton up 15 points against Rubio and Walker at some point. They even showed her leading Kasich by 7 or 8, lol.

They've been putting out polls identical to this since May. I dont really care if there a sucky pollster.
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Fusionmunster
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,483


« Reply #8 on: September 04, 2016, 08:51:44 AM »

Morning Consult is definitely not a Trump-friendy pollster, lol.

The pro-Hillary clowns are just grasping at every straw now.

She and her PACs are outspending this Trump douche by 200 million to 10 million in ads and everything she manages is a 2-point lead nationally and being a couple points ahead in the swing states (all well within the MoE of course).

Can I just point out, you lost your modding privileges because you were such a Bernie Clown so why dont people in glass houses...
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