Congressional incumbents in history...
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Author Topic: Congressional incumbents in history...  (Read 1553 times)
King
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« on: June 25, 2005, 07:20:38 PM »
Does anybody know what the worst showing for an incumbent in Congress ever was in a general?
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #1 on: June 25, 2005, 07:29:00 PM »
Senator D'Amato of New York was destroyed in '98 by about ten points. The late former Senator Roth of Delaware was beat in 2000 by twelve points.
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PADem
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« Reply #2 on: June 25, 2005, 11:43:07 PM »
Quote from: Keystone Phil on June 25, 2005, 07:29:00 PM
Senator D'Amato of New York was destroyed in '98 by about ten points. The late former Senator Roth of Delaware was beat in 2000 by twelve points.

Lets hope Santorum is added to that illustrious group. I'm picking Casey Jr by about 8%
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #3 on: June 25, 2005, 11:46:50 PM »
Quote from: PADem on June 25, 2005, 11:43:07 PM
Quote from: Keystone Phil on June 25, 2005, 07:29:00 PM
Senator D'Amato of New York was destroyed in '98 by about ten points. The late former Senator Roth of Delaware was beat in 2000 by twelve points.

Lets hope Santorum is added to that illustrious group. I'm picking Casey Jr by about 8%

Neither candidate will win by more than six points.
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TeePee4Prez
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« Reply #4 on: June 25, 2005, 11:47:21 PM »
Quote from: PADem on June 25, 2005, 11:43:07 PM
Quote from: Keystone Phil on June 25, 2005, 07:29:00 PM
Senator D'Amato of New York was destroyed in '98 by about ten points. The late former Senator Roth of Delaware was beat in 2000 by twelve points.

Lets hope Santorum is added to that illustrious group. I'm picking Casey Jr by about 8%

I'd second that one as well.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #5 on: June 26, 2005, 02:21:42 AM »
A North Georgia Congressman went down extremely hard in 1994; didn't even crack 30% IIRC
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jimrtex
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« Reply #6 on: June 26, 2005, 05:52:38 PM »
Quote from: Senator A.J.* King III on June 25, 2005, 07:20:38 PM
Does anybody know what the worst showing for an incumbent in Congress ever was in a general?
Texas 2004.

Max Sandlin lost by 23.8%
Charles Stenhold lost by 18.3%
Nick Lampson lost by 12.6%
Martin Frost lost by 10.2%
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TheresNoMoney
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« Reply #7 on: June 26, 2005, 07:36:05 PM »

All due to partisan redistricting by the Republicans.
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jfern
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« Reply #8 on: June 26, 2005, 07:39:23 PM »

Incumbents that suddenly had their districts gerrymandered against them shouldn't count.
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muon2
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« Reply #9 on: June 26, 2005, 09:40:56 PM »
In 1996 Rep. Michael Flanagan lost his bid for reelection by a whopping 64 to 36% -- a margin of 28.25%. Then again no thought that he would have defeated the powerful Dan Rostenkowski two years earlier until an indictment did him in. No gerrymandering here, but a Republican wasn't meant for Chicago-based IL-5, and Rod Blagojevich was the 1996 winner.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #10 on: June 27, 2005, 04:23:27 AM »
Illinois has a habit of tossing out crooked Congressmen even when they're in "safe" districts, doesn't it?
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King
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« Reply #11 on: June 28, 2005, 03:22:58 PM »
Quote from: Judge Al on June 27, 2005, 04:23:27 AM
Illinois has a habit of tossing out crooked Congressmen even when they're in "safe" districts, doesn't it?

If only Texas was like that... Wink
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Kevinstat
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« Reply #12 on: June 28, 2005, 03:51:51 PM »
Congressman Don Johnson (D-Georgia) lost his bid for reelection in 1994 to Charlie Norwood 65% to 35%, which the Almanac of American Politics 1998 said was "one of the worst lickings of a non-scandal-tarred incumbent in recent history."  So I imagine there must be several worse defeats of Congressional incumbents in history.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #13 on: June 28, 2005, 03:53:35 PM »
Quote from: Kevinstat on June 28, 2005, 03:51:51 PM
Congressman Don Johnson (D-Georgia) lost his bid for reelection in 1994 to Charlie Norwood 65% to 35%, which the Almanac of American Politics 1998 said was "one of the worst lickings of a non-scandal-tarred incumbent in recent history."  So I imagine there must be several worse defeats of Congressional incumbents in history.

That's the one I was thinking of. Time had exaggerated the scale of the humiliation in my mind Wink

Some U.K M.P's went down *extremely* hard in 1945 and 1997, btw
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