Quinnipiac National: Clinton +7/+10

[heatcharger]

https://www.qu.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2375

4-way:
Clinton - 45%
Trump - 38%
Johnson - 10%
Stein - 4%

2-way:
Clinton - 51%
Trump - 41%

Conducted August 18-24. 1498 LV. MOE +/- 2.5%.

BAD!

[Speed of Sound]

I heard it was their first using the likely voter screen, too. If that's true....ouch.

[Landslide Lyndon]

[Classic Conservative]

Either the new OH, FL, NC, AZ, MI and the Pew and Morning Consults polls are all wrong or this is right.

[dspNY]

What is going on with Quinnipiac? They were Trump's best pollster for all this time and all of a sudden they have a Dem lean nationally (although their last batch of polls from PA/OH/FL seemed very accurate)

[Yank2133]

Welp.

[Gass3268]

But I thought Clinton's lead was slipping?

[Wiz in Wis]

Clinton +7 in the 4 way is pretty much in line with the current averages (Pollster, 538) so, this is unsurprising. Not sure why GOPers are shocked?

[Vosem]

Significant that Johnson is still at 10 and Stein is still at 4 even when likely voter screens are applied.

[Gass3268]

Well, Clinton's now getting some great national polls and very meh state polls.  That flipped quickly.

Most of the meh state polls are from fringe pollsters. Monmouth's polls (A+) have been pretty good for Clinton (other than Indiana) and CNN wasn't horrid.

[Wiz in Wis]

Well, Clinton's now getting some great national polls and very meh state polls.  That flipped quickly.

Most of the meh state polls are from fringe pollsters. Monmouth's polls (A+) have been pretty good for Clinton (other than Indiana) and CNN wasn't horrid.

Yeah, not sure what polls you're referring to. Aside from FL, Hillary has been holding steady pretty much everywhere in the state polls. And those FL polls are pretty dubious.

[dspNY]

--Quinnipiac finds that 90% of the electorate is locked in and only 9% is open to changing their minds.

--62% think that Clinton will win, only 28% think Trump will win

--Obama approval 54/44 and 70% of millennials approve of him, so he needs to talk to the younger voters a lot about Clinton

--Clinton approval 44/47, Trump approval 35/53. Clinton's strong disapprove at 33%, Trump's at 39%

--Clinton's honesty numbers are terrible (29/66)

--Trump's experience numbers are terrible (32/65) while Clinton's are great (71/29)

--Clinton leads on the cares about the little guy question (51/47). Trump is at 41/57

--Only 25% of voters think Trump is level-headed

--Most important factors in picking a president are leadership skills (25%) and cares about the little guy (21%). Honesty is 3rd (17%)

--59% think Trump appeals to bigots

Party ID: 34D/29R/31I (D+5)
Demographics: 70% white, 13% African-American, 8% Hispanic, 9% other/did not state

[Fusionmunster]

Oh...was not expecting that.

[dspNY]

One more important finding: 74% of Americans think Trump should release his taxes, including 62% of Repubs

[amdcpus]

62 to 29 that Johnson should be included in the debates, 82 to 13 with 18-34 year olds.

[Dr. Arch]

--Quinnipiac finds that 90% of the electorate is locked in and only 9% is open to changing their minds.

--62% think that Clinton will win, only 28% think Trump will win

--Obama approval 54/44 and 70% of millennials approve of him, so he needs to talk to the younger voters a lot about Clinton

--Clinton approval 44/47, Trump approval 35/53. Clinton's strong disapprove at 33%, Trump's at 39%

--Clinton's honesty numbers are terrible (29/66)

--Trump's experience numbers are terrible (32/65) while Clinton's are great (71/29)

--Clinton leads on the cares about the little guy question (51/47). Trump is at 41/57

--Only 25% of voters think Trump is level-headed

--Most important factors in picking a president are leadership skills (25%) and cares about the little guy (21%). Honesty is 3rd (17%)

--59% think Trump appeals to bigots

Party ID: 34D/29R/31I (D+5)
Demographics: 70% white, 13% African-American, 8% Hispanic, 9% other/did not state

The demographics look spot on.

[Lief 🗽]

More evidence of the Trump resurgence!

[The Other Castro]

I think the white vote share will actually be closer to 72%, but nonetheless Democrats should be very happy with this poll.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Were junk when it was showing Trump up!

Getting good now

[kyc0705]

Remind me what people were saying about likely voter polls and how they would tighten up the race again?

[Doimper]

Glad to see Clinton's favorables slowly rebounding.

[Mehmentum]

What is going on with Quinnipiac? They were Trump's best pollster for all this time and all of a sudden they have a Dem lean nationally (although their last batch of polls from PA/OH/FL seemed very accurate)

They implemented likely voter screens.

[Gass3268]

Wow, 538 actually gives this a pro-Clinton correction of 2 points.

[Devout Centrist]

1-(800)-AYY-LMAO

[Devout Centrist]

Were junk when it was showing Trump up!

Getting good now

Quinnipiac? Junk? Whaaaaat?