|           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
August 09, 2020, 06:18:46 am
News:
If you are having trouble logging in due to invalid user name / pass:

Consider resetting your account password, as you may have forgotten it over time if using a password manager.

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  MO-Monmouth: Koster past 50%, leads by 11
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: MO-Monmouth: Koster past 50%, leads by 11  (Read 2397 times)
heatcharger
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,427
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: August 23, 2016, 12:07:25 pm »
« edited: August 23, 2016, 12:12:00 pm by heatcharger »

http://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_MO_082316/

Koster (D) - 51%
Greitens (R) - 40%
Spragins (L) - 3%
Logged
Chief Justice windjammer
windjammer
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,196
France


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: August 23, 2016, 12:07:59 pm »

It seems off.
Logged
/
darthebearnc
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 7,376
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: August 23, 2016, 12:14:24 pm »

Logged
Vosem
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,064
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.13, S: -6.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: August 23, 2016, 12:14:59 pm »

Koster seems to have a pretty consistent lead in polling. The Republican primary did a number to Greitens and the unusually poor presidential toplines are not helping either.
Logged
Heisenberg
SecureAmerica
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,096
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: August 23, 2016, 12:17:41 pm »

I believe Koster leading, but definitely not by this much.
Logged
heatcharger
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,427
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: August 23, 2016, 12:25:30 pm »

I'd call this race Lean D for now.
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,052
Dominica


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: August 23, 2016, 12:26:50 pm »

Tremendous! Of the AZ, GA, MO reach states I think Clinton should think hard about investing here. Getting a huge turnout in St. Louis would be very helpful in the senate and gov races.
Logged
jimmie
jamespol
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,044


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: August 23, 2016, 12:33:16 pm »

Tremendous! Of the AZ, GA, MO reach states I think Clinton should think hard about investing here. Getting a huge turnout in St. Louis would be very helpful in the senate and gov races.

Koster will probably win! I am so happy for that.

The thing about Missouri is, for a Democrat to win statewide, it is not so much about getting turn out in Kansas City and St. Louis up. It is more about how many outstate votes the Democrat can get. Missouri is full of center-right voters. That explains the GOP dominance of the legislature and congressional delegation, but also explains why Democrats have not been completely shut out in a state that is Demographically perfect for Republicans.
Logged
Ebsy
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: August 23, 2016, 02:04:29 pm »

I drive through rural Missouri, and there is nothing more beautiful than seeing Chris Koster signs on farm after farm also hosting signs for local Republican candidates.
Logged
136or142
Adam T
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 7,460
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: August 23, 2016, 03:39:47 pm »


The Presidential numbers and the U.S Senate numbers are pretty consistent with other polls from Missouri.  I don't think this is off.
Logged
DINGO Joe
dingojoe
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 8,705
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: August 23, 2016, 03:42:41 pm »

I drive through rural Missouri, and there is nothing more beautiful than seeing Chris Koster signs on farm after farm also hosting signs for local Republican candidates.

What's Koster's big appeal to the farm vote.  Was he born on a tractor?
Logged
Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,857
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: August 23, 2016, 03:47:33 pm »

I drive through rural Missouri, and there is nothing more beautiful than seeing Chris Koster signs on farm after farm also hosting signs for local Republican candidates.

What's Koster's big appeal to the farm vote.  Was he born on a tractor?

I know he used to be a republican. That may matter to some people.
Logged
Representative Spiral
Spiral
Atlas Politician
Sr. Member
*****
Posts: 3,419
Bosnia and Herzegovina


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: August 23, 2016, 04:49:44 pm »

I buy it, actually. That I'm voting for Koster over Greitens as the right-wing monster that I am says it all.
Logged
Chief Justice windjammer
windjammer
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,196
France


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: August 23, 2016, 04:54:16 pm »

I buy it, actually. That I'm voting for Koster over Greitens as the right-wing monster that I am says it all.
Why?
Logged
jimmie
jamespol
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,044


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: August 23, 2016, 05:01:39 pm »

I buy it, actually. That I'm voting for Koster over Greitens as the right-wing monster that I am says it all.

Thank you!!! Smiley

Yes I think Koster has a good lead in MO. I think Trump has a very tiny lead in MO.. and I think Blunt has a size-able but very fickle lead. Senate race could be competitive with more resources put in.
Logged
Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
Sprouts
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,831
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: 1.74


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: August 23, 2016, 05:23:32 pm »

The Democrats are going to have so many governor's mansions, y'all's heads are gonna spin! Indiana, Missouri, West Virginia! Beautiful!
Logged
Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,857
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: August 23, 2016, 05:30:40 pm »

The Democrats are going to have so many governor's mansions, y'all's heads are gonna spin! Indiana, Missouri, West Virginia! Beautiful!

Don't forget North Carolina
Logged
Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
Sprouts
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,831
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: 1.74


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: August 23, 2016, 05:47:37 pm »

The Democrats are going to have so many governor's mansions, y'all's heads are gonna spin! Indiana, Missouri, West Virginia! Beautiful!

Don't forget North Carolina

Eh, I don't care about that race. They're both pretty terrible.
Logged
Representative Spiral
Spiral
Atlas Politician
Sr. Member
*****
Posts: 3,419
Bosnia and Herzegovina


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: August 23, 2016, 06:05:17 pm »

I buy it, actually. That I'm voting for Koster over Greitens as the right-wing monster that I am says it all.
Why?

I'm quite sympathetic to the labor movement and I don't want to see right-to-work passed here. A Democratic governor is the only thing stopping the GOP legislature from doing that. Also, I'd rather not hand over my state to Eric Greitens for the next 4-8 years so he can use it as a springboard for his inevitable presidential bid.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,461
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.63, S: -6.13

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: August 23, 2016, 06:48:07 pm »

It could be a bit inflated, since this poll only had Trump up by 1, but it Koster is overperforming Hillary by 12, I like his chances.
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,336
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: August 23, 2016, 06:54:35 pm »

Great poll!
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,957
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: August 24, 2016, 02:54:12 pm »

But I thought Missouri was the next Wyoming.
Logged
Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,857
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: August 24, 2016, 06:56:47 pm »

But I thought Missouri was the next Wyoming.

It's not the next Arkansas yet. I'm not sure when the republicans start dominating everything, but it's probably less than ten years away.
Logged
YPestis25
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 900


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -6.09

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: August 24, 2016, 07:00:30 pm »
« Edited: August 24, 2016, 07:02:22 pm by YPestis25 »

But I thought Missouri was the next Wyoming.

It's not the next Arkansas yet. I'm not sure when the republicans start dominating everything, but it's probably less than ten years away.

The big difference between Missouri and Arkansas though, is that Missouri has two major urban centers keeping it a lean/likely R state at the presidential level in neutral years, and giving statewide Democrats a chance. Rural whites will inevitably continue to trend R, but that's somewhat offset by St. Louis and Kansas City.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.248 seconds with 15 queries.