MO-Monmouth: Koster past 50%, leads by 11
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  MO-Monmouth: Koster past 50%, leads by 11
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Author Topic: MO-Monmouth: Koster past 50%, leads by 11  (Read 3685 times)
heatcharger
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« on: August 23, 2016, 12:07:25 PM »
« edited: August 23, 2016, 12:12:00 PM by heatcharger »

http://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_MO_082316/

Koster (D) - 51%
Greitens (R) - 40%
Spragins (L) - 3%
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windjammer
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« Reply #1 on: August 23, 2016, 12:07:59 PM »

It seems off.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #2 on: August 23, 2016, 12:14:24 PM »

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Vosem
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« Reply #3 on: August 23, 2016, 12:14:59 PM »

Koster seems to have a pretty consistent lead in polling. The Republican primary did a number to Greitens and the unusually poor presidential toplines are not helping either.
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #4 on: August 23, 2016, 12:17:41 PM »

I believe Koster leading, but definitely not by this much.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #5 on: August 23, 2016, 12:25:30 PM »

I'd call this race Lean D for now.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #6 on: August 23, 2016, 12:26:50 PM »

Tremendous! Of the AZ, GA, MO reach states I think Clinton should think hard about investing here. Getting a huge turnout in St. Louis would be very helpful in the senate and gov races.
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jamestroll
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« Reply #7 on: August 23, 2016, 12:33:16 PM »

Tremendous! Of the AZ, GA, MO reach states I think Clinton should think hard about investing here. Getting a huge turnout in St. Louis would be very helpful in the senate and gov races.

Koster will probably win! I am so happy for that.

The thing about Missouri is, for a Democrat to win statewide, it is not so much about getting turn out in Kansas City and St. Louis up. It is more about how many outstate votes the Democrat can get. Missouri is full of center-right voters. That explains the GOP dominance of the legislature and congressional delegation, but also explains why Democrats have not been completely shut out in a state that is Demographically perfect for Republicans.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #8 on: August 23, 2016, 02:04:29 PM »

I drive through rural Missouri, and there is nothing more beautiful than seeing Chris Koster signs on farm after farm also hosting signs for local Republican candidates.
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136or142
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« Reply #9 on: August 23, 2016, 03:39:47 PM »


The Presidential numbers and the U.S Senate numbers are pretty consistent with other polls from Missouri.  I don't think this is off.
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #10 on: August 23, 2016, 03:42:41 PM »

I drive through rural Missouri, and there is nothing more beautiful than seeing Chris Koster signs on farm after farm also hosting signs for local Republican candidates.

What's Koster's big appeal to the farm vote.  Was he born on a tractor?
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #11 on: August 23, 2016, 03:47:33 PM »

I drive through rural Missouri, and there is nothing more beautiful than seeing Chris Koster signs on farm after farm also hosting signs for local Republican candidates.

What's Koster's big appeal to the farm vote.  Was he born on a tractor?

I know he used to be a republican. That may matter to some people.
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Senator Spiral
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« Reply #12 on: August 23, 2016, 04:49:44 PM »

I buy it, actually. That I'm voting for Koster over Greitens as the right-wing monster that I am says it all.
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windjammer
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« Reply #13 on: August 23, 2016, 04:54:16 PM »

I buy it, actually. That I'm voting for Koster over Greitens as the right-wing monster that I am says it all.
Why?
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jamestroll
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« Reply #14 on: August 23, 2016, 05:01:39 PM »

I buy it, actually. That I'm voting for Koster over Greitens as the right-wing monster that I am says it all.

Thank you!!! Smiley

Yes I think Koster has a good lead in MO. I think Trump has a very tiny lead in MO.. and I think Blunt has a size-able but very fickle lead. Senate race could be competitive with more resources put in.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #15 on: August 23, 2016, 05:23:32 PM »

The Democrats are going to have so many governor's mansions, y'all's heads are gonna spin! Indiana, Missouri, West Virginia! Beautiful!
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #16 on: August 23, 2016, 05:30:40 PM »

The Democrats are going to have so many governor's mansions, y'all's heads are gonna spin! Indiana, Missouri, West Virginia! Beautiful!

Don't forget North Carolina
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #17 on: August 23, 2016, 05:47:37 PM »

The Democrats are going to have so many governor's mansions, y'all's heads are gonna spin! Indiana, Missouri, West Virginia! Beautiful!

Don't forget North Carolina

Eh, I don't care about that race. They're both pretty terrible.
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Senator Spiral
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« Reply #18 on: August 23, 2016, 06:05:17 PM »

I buy it, actually. That I'm voting for Koster over Greitens as the right-wing monster that I am says it all.
Why?

I'm quite sympathetic to the labor movement and I don't want to see right-to-work passed here. A Democratic governor is the only thing stopping the GOP legislature from doing that. Also, I'd rather not hand over my state to Eric Greitens for the next 4-8 years so he can use it as a springboard for his inevitable presidential bid.
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Xing
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« Reply #19 on: August 23, 2016, 06:48:07 PM »

It could be a bit inflated, since this poll only had Trump up by 1, but it Koster is overperforming Hillary by 12, I like his chances.
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Miles
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« Reply #20 on: August 23, 2016, 06:54:35 PM »

Great poll!
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IceSpear
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« Reply #21 on: August 24, 2016, 02:54:12 PM »

But I thought Missouri was the next Wyoming.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #22 on: August 24, 2016, 06:56:47 PM »

But I thought Missouri was the next Wyoming.

It's not the next Arkansas yet. I'm not sure when the republicans start dominating everything, but it's probably less than ten years away.
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YPestis25
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« Reply #23 on: August 24, 2016, 07:00:30 PM »
« Edited: August 24, 2016, 07:02:22 PM by YPestis25 »

But I thought Missouri was the next Wyoming.

It's not the next Arkansas yet. I'm not sure when the republicans start dominating everything, but it's probably less than ten years away.

The big difference between Missouri and Arkansas though, is that Missouri has two major urban centers keeping it a lean/likely R state at the presidential level in neutral years, and giving statewide Democrats a chance. Rural whites will inevitably continue to trend R, but that's somewhat offset by St. Louis and Kansas City.
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