Big 3 Race Rating Changes (Cook, Rothenberg, Sabato)

[Nyvin]

BIG House Ratings Changes from Sabato:

House
CA-31 (Aguilar): Likely D to Safe D
CA-10 (Denham): Lean R to Toss-Up
CA-49 (Issa) Lean R to Toss-Up
CA-25 (Knight): Lean R to Toss-Up
IN-02 (Walorski): Safe R to Likely R
ME-02 (Poliquin): Lean R to Toss-Up
MI-08 (Bishop): Safe R to Likely R
NY-24 (Katko): Toss-Up to Lean R
NY-01 (Zeldin): Toss-Up to Lean R
PA-16 (OPEN): Likely R to Lean R
VA-10 (Comstock): Lean R to Toss-Up

I'd say I almost feel sorry for Denham, Knight, and Issa, given that Clinton's coattails in California are likely to be absurd, but I really don't.

"Feel sorry for" and "Issa" don't belong in the same sentence. 

[The Other Castro]

Cook Political Report: "Senate Democrats Poised to Pick Up 5-7 Seats"

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http://cookpolitical.com/story/10113

[Terry the Fat Shark]

and they simply assume that the democrats will be the one to win the lions share? Alrightie then

[The Other Castro]

and they simply assume that the democrats will be the one to win the lions share? Alrightie then

[Orser67]

I definitely agree with his point that the tossups tend to break the same way. Given Trump's problems, it's hard to see the races breaking towards the GOP.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/our-final-2016-picks/

Final Sabato House ratings. Just to cherrypick some CA changes:

- CA-10, CA-25, and CA-49 move from Toss Up to Lean D
- CA-21 moves from Toss Up to Lean R