Bush vs. Kerry - July 5, 2005
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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  Bush vs. Kerry - July 5, 2005
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Poll
Question: Who wins?
#1
George W. Bush
 
#2
John Kerry
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 32

Author Topic: Bush vs. Kerry - July 5, 2005  (Read 1512 times)
Keystone Phil
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« on: June 24, 2005, 04:09:13 PM »

Let's say the election is held alittle over a week from now on the second first Tuesday in July. Who would win?
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Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
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« Reply #1 on: June 24, 2005, 04:19:11 PM »

kerry would win.  Bush is sucking right now..

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jokerman
Cosmo Kramer
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« Reply #2 on: June 24, 2005, 04:26:20 PM »

Kerry, mostly because Iraq has gotten even worse than it was before.
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Cashcow
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« Reply #3 on: June 24, 2005, 04:27:20 PM »

I wonder how many people regret voting for Bush right now.
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Gabu
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« Reply #4 on: June 24, 2005, 04:44:24 PM »

See, this is a very good argument for moving Election Day to July 5. Tongue
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Storebought
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« Reply #5 on: June 24, 2005, 05:02:16 PM »

Except that most people who voted in November already had a negative opinion on the War in Iraq, but positive views on Bush's handling on the overall War on Terror
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jfern
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« Reply #6 on: June 24, 2005, 05:31:36 PM »

Except that most people who voted in November already had a negative opinion on the War in Iraq, but positive views on Bush's handling on the overall War on Terror

Basically even on the second one now.



If people knew about the 8/06/01 memo, that'd be a lot lower.
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George W. Hobbes
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« Reply #7 on: June 24, 2005, 06:01:10 PM »

Kerry, only because it flips a few close states.
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7,052,770
Harry
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« Reply #8 on: June 24, 2005, 06:31:59 PM »

maybe something like this:

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Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
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« Reply #9 on: June 24, 2005, 06:44:23 PM »

NM who have still went for bush.
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jfern
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« Reply #10 on: June 24, 2005, 06:53:26 PM »

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© tweed
Miamiu1027
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« Reply #11 on: June 24, 2005, 07:10:42 PM »

Bush, Kerry lost because he's a bad candidate and not because Bush was overwhelmingly popular.

That said, it would be a little closer, but Bush wins by 100k strong in Ohio at the very least.
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MaC
Milk_and_cereal
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« Reply #12 on: June 24, 2005, 08:33:06 PM »

Kerry.  Bush's job approval was about 8 points higher at the time of the election-enough to win him the election.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #13 on: June 24, 2005, 09:09:38 PM »
« Edited: June 25, 2005, 10:25:12 AM by Boss Tweed »

Bush's numbers are not consistently worse now then they were in Nov 2004.

Gallup/CNN/USAToday: now 47% approve/51% disapprove; 10/31-04 48% approve/47% disapprove

FOX News: now 48% approve/43% disapprove; 10/31/04 47% approve/46% disapprove

CBS/NYT: now 42% approve/ 51% disapprove 10/30/04 49% approve/42% disapprove

So on average, 2+% higher approval percentage on election day and 4% lower disapproval rate.  Hardly staggering
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WalterMitty
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« Reply #14 on: June 24, 2005, 09:28:40 PM »

oh goodness.

i was here on july 5, 2004, and many of the same jokers who posted on this thread were saying bush was sure to lose that november.

ive heard it all before.
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tarheel-leftist85
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« Reply #15 on: June 24, 2005, 11:36:15 PM »

Bush would win as long as his opponent was Kerry.
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