Economist/YouGov National: 8/11-16 Clinton +6 (2-way)/+6 (4-way)
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  Economist/YouGov National: 8/11-16 Clinton +6 (2-way)/+6 (4-way)
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Author Topic: Economist/YouGov National: 8/11-16 Clinton +6 (2-way)/+6 (4-way)  (Read 844 times)
Seriously?
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« on: August 17, 2016, 05:26:43 PM »
« edited: August 17, 2016, 05:42:28 PM by Seriously? »

2-way
Hillary Clinton: 47% (-1)
Donald Trump: 41% (0)
Someone else / Not sure yet / No preference: 9%
Probably won't vote: 3%


4-way
Hillary Clinton: 41% (-1)
Donald Trump: 35% (-1)
Gary Johnson: 7% (-2)
Jill Stein: 3% (+1)
Someone else: 2%
Not sure yet: 8%
Probably won't vote: 3%

August 11-16, 2016;  1,300 adults. Registered Voters only surveyed (~910 RV) for horse race numbers.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #1 on: August 17, 2016, 05:27:22 PM »

So the lead has barely budged? Good!
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Southern Delegate matthew27
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« Reply #2 on: August 17, 2016, 05:33:28 PM »

The spread of +6 for clinton stays the same from earlier in the month...The only thing that changed is both lost a point.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5952.html
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OwlRhetoric
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« Reply #3 on: August 17, 2016, 05:50:13 PM »

Lol, that four way, everyone except Stein losing support. Also, including "Probably Won't Vote."
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heatcharger
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« Reply #4 on: August 17, 2016, 07:24:44 PM »

Democrats lead by 8 in the generic congressional ballot. Nice!
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IceSpear
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« Reply #5 on: August 17, 2016, 07:26:06 PM »

Democrats lead by 8 in the generic congressional ballot. Nice!

Even an 8 point win wouldn't guarantee them the House (ugh), but it would mean they'd definitely have a shot at it.
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #6 on: August 17, 2016, 07:28:22 PM »

Democrats lead by 8 in the generic congressional ballot. Nice!
So Generic D performs better against Generic R than Clinton performs against Trump? Seriously?
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Darthpi Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #7 on: August 17, 2016, 07:29:27 PM »

Hillary's margin conspicuously not declining at all.
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Seriously?
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« Reply #8 on: August 17, 2016, 09:26:23 PM »

Democrats lead by 8 in the generic congressional ballot. Nice!
So Generic D performs better against Generic R than Clinton performs against Trump? Seriously?
I really don't care about RV polling at this point in the game. I just wish the other 1/2 of these polls would switch over to LV already.
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Hammy
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« Reply #9 on: August 17, 2016, 09:33:38 PM »

Democrats lead by 8 in the generic congressional ballot. Nice!
So Generic D performs better against Generic R than Clinton performs against Trump? Seriously?
I really don't care about RV polling at this point in the game. I just wish the other 1/2 of these polls would switch over to LV already.

Why are they still using RV in the first place? I thought they'd all be switched by now.
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #10 on: August 17, 2016, 09:34:22 PM »

Democrats lead by 8 in the generic congressional ballot. Nice!
So Generic D performs better against Generic R than Clinton performs against Trump? Seriously?
I really don't care about RV polling at this point in the game. I just wish the other 1/2 of these polls would switch over to LV already.
Why are they still using RV in the first place? I thought they'd all be switched by now.
That's what I thought
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Seriously?
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« Reply #11 on: August 17, 2016, 09:48:29 PM »

Democrats lead by 8 in the generic congressional ballot. Nice!
So Generic D performs better against Generic R than Clinton performs against Trump? Seriously?
I really don't care about RV polling at this point in the game. I just wish the other 1/2 of these polls would switch over to LV already.

Why are they still using RV in the first place? I thought they'd all be switched by now.
My guess is September 1 or Labor Day.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #12 on: August 17, 2016, 10:18:23 PM »

Democrats lead by 8 in the generic congressional ballot. Nice!

Even an 8 point win wouldn't guarantee them the House (ugh), but it would mean they'd definitely have a shot at it.

Agreed, but there's a certain threshold where the gerrymander turns into a dummymander, and Lean R and Likely R seats start turning blue. I'm not sure what that number is, but there are many pickup opportunities in California, Texas, and Colorado to name a few where a national victory of 8-10 points could net a lot of seats.
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