Marist: Clinton +14
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  Marist: Clinton +14
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Author Topic: Marist: Clinton +14  (Read 2590 times)
JRP1994
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« on: August 04, 2016, 03:53:50 PM »

http://www.mcclatchydc.com/news/politics-government/election/article93763582.html

Clinton: 45
Trump: 31
Johnson: 10
Stein: 6



Clinton: 48
Trump: 33
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #1 on: August 04, 2016, 03:54:38 PM »

Confused
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #2 on: August 04, 2016, 03:54:48 PM »

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Wells
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« Reply #3 on: August 04, 2016, 03:55:16 PM »

WWoooowww. AMAZING!! F yes!
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Holmes
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« Reply #4 on: August 04, 2016, 03:55:19 PM »

I may have just peed my pants.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #5 on: August 04, 2016, 03:55:24 PM »

Is this reality? That RABA poll doesn't look like an outlier any more. She really is ahead by double digits it seems.

Also:

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The Other Castro
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« Reply #6 on: August 04, 2016, 03:55:56 PM »

WOW! GREAT HONOR!
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Wells
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« Reply #7 on: August 04, 2016, 03:57:14 PM »

BTW, fivethirtyeight gives Marist a surprisingly large R (+0.7) bias for a grade A pollster.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #8 on: August 04, 2016, 03:57:50 PM »

Wowzers!
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dspNY
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« Reply #9 on: August 04, 2016, 03:58:02 PM »




White voters: Trump +2 (41/39)
African-American voters: Clinton +91 (93-2)
Hispanic voters: Clinton +29 (55-26), and I think it is more than that
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amdcpus
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« Reply #10 on: August 04, 2016, 03:58:26 PM »

Last poll was Clinton 40% Trump 35% Johnson 10% Stein 5% from July 5-9.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #11 on: August 04, 2016, 04:01:25 PM »

Men had been the bedrock of Trump support. Last month, he was up by 14 percentage points among men; he’s now down 8. Clinton remains strong with women, as she’s up 20.

Trump collapsed almost everywhere that he’d built decent support. Even among white voters, which favored Republican White House candidates in recent elections, Trump was lagging, ahead of Clinton, but only just barely, 41-39.

Clinton wins moderates, 50-27 percent. She is far ahead with black voters, 93-2 percent, and with Latinos, 55-26 percent.
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #12 on: August 04, 2016, 04:02:26 PM »

Meanwhile, at RNC headquarters:

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Baki
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« Reply #13 on: August 04, 2016, 04:03:01 PM »
« Edited: August 04, 2016, 04:05:02 PM by Baki »

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fldemfunds
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« Reply #14 on: August 04, 2016, 04:03:14 PM »

Trump being in the 30's on multiple polls should terrify Republicans more than Clinton's numbers.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #15 on: August 04, 2016, 04:05:46 PM »

Trump being in the 30's on multiple polls should terrify Republicans more than Clinton's numbers.

Yeah, he's getting McGovern-esque numbers right now. I'm in no way confident this will last till November, but oh man the House might be on the table with these figures.
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evergreenarbor
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« Reply #16 on: August 04, 2016, 04:06:02 PM »

Wow. This is terrible news for Trump.
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psychprofessor
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« Reply #17 on: August 04, 2016, 04:06:30 PM »

And she's only up 55-26 with Latinos....glorious poll
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Ronnie
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« Reply #18 on: August 04, 2016, 04:10:13 PM »

I had a very strong feeling the race would shape up this way, which is why I hadn't updated my prediction map since June. Smiley

Terrific news, regardless!

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Statilius the Epicurean
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« Reply #19 on: August 04, 2016, 04:10:30 PM »

Clinton still stuck on 45...this huge swing has been from Trump supporters abandoning him. Johnson benefiting on 10.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #20 on: August 04, 2016, 04:13:22 PM »

Ayyy LMFAO the election should really be held today I would love to see a McGovern or Goldwater style defeat for Donald Trump
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Holmes
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« Reply #21 on: August 04, 2016, 04:14:18 PM »

I sincerely doubt Clinton is down only 2% among whites, and that she's only at 55% with latinos, so it probably balances out.
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psychprofessor
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« Reply #22 on: August 04, 2016, 04:16:33 PM »

Clinton still stuck on 45...this huge swing has been from Trump supporters abandoning him. Johnson benefiting on 10.

48-33 in the head to head...with 3 and 4 options being included it won't take getting over 50 to win. The bigger issue is Trump under 35 in a slew of polls.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
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« Reply #23 on: August 04, 2016, 04:16:58 PM »

I'm not quite willing to call this a blowout until we start seeing Clinton over 50% in poll after poll, in 4-ways.  But this is encouraging if you're rooting for Hillary.
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Obama-Biden Democrat
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« Reply #24 on: August 04, 2016, 04:19:17 PM »




White voters: Trump +2 (41/39)
African-American voters: Clinton +91 (93-2)
Hispanic voters: Clinton +29 (55-26), and I think it is more than that

Expect a tweet from Trump soon about how Hillary is 'collapsing with Hispanics, is barely above 50! Trump doing much better than Romney!'
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