McGinty +1 Frankln and Marshall July 29-August 1 2016
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  McGinty +1 Frankln and Marshall July 29-August 1 2016
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Author Topic: McGinty +1 Frankln and Marshall July 29-August 1 2016  (Read 1356 times)
Pragmatic Conservative
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« on: August 03, 2016, 11:47:03 PM »
« edited: August 03, 2016, 11:59:57 PM by Fmr. RG 1184AZ »

McGinty 39
Toomey 38
Undecided 23

Just 24% feel Toomey deserves to be Re-Elected


http://www.fandm.edu/uploads/files/517148503881751921-f-m-poll-release-july-2016.pdf
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Negusa Nagast 🚀
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« Reply #1 on: August 03, 2016, 11:57:10 PM »

Way too many undecideds in this poll.
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Lincoln Speaker Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #2 on: August 03, 2016, 11:58:50 PM »

You could at least spell his name right....

Undecideds need to be pushed more, though I do believe this race is close. Just don't see McGinty winning in the end.
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Xing
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« Reply #3 on: August 03, 2016, 11:59:36 PM »

Of course, this poll once again shows why it's foolish to rule McGinty out, but it's not that great for her, considering it has Clinton up by 11.
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Miles
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« Reply #4 on: August 04, 2016, 12:00:21 AM »

Franklin and Marshall always has high undecideds.
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Lincoln Speaker Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #5 on: August 04, 2016, 12:06:14 AM »

Of course, this poll once again shows why it's foolish to rule McGinty out, but it's not that great for her, considering it has Clinton up by 11.

In that case I'd say it's actually a bad poll for her, since Clinton isn't going to win by 11 in PA in the end. If she's actually underperforming Clinton by 10 points she's toast - but I don't believe she will perform THAT badly on election day.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #6 on: August 04, 2016, 06:03:43 AM »

Lean D
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Chief Justice windjammer
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« Reply #7 on: August 04, 2016, 06:21:53 AM »

Of course, this poll once again shows why it's foolish to rule McGinty out, but it's not that great for her, considering it has Clinton up by 11.

In that case I'd say it's actually a bad poll for her, since Clinton isn't going to win by 11 in PA in the end. If she's actually underperforming Clinton by 10 points she's toast - but I don't believe she will perform THAT badly on election day.
It's more a question of name recognition, Toomey and Trump have the same %. The undecided are likely leaning democratic, so in the end she should be able to win, and that might even not be close.
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john cage bubblegum
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« Reply #8 on: August 04, 2016, 07:56:24 AM »

The interesting thing is that among registered voters, McGinty is up 38-30, a much bigger RV/LV spread than the presidential race.  And FWIW, they did ask undecided voters who they "lean" more toward, and it's 33-18, McGinty with 49% being completely undecided.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #9 on: August 04, 2016, 09:34:53 AM »

In that case I'd say it's actually a bad poll for her, since Clinton isn't going to win by 11 in PA in the end.

Are you counting on Trump to pivot and turn things around from where he is now?
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Gass3268
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« Reply #10 on: August 04, 2016, 10:11:17 AM »

Among Registered Voters:

- McGinty is winning in the Philly suburbs by 22%
- McGinty is winning college graduates by 23%
- Nonwhites are 14% more undecided than and McGinty is winning them by 42%
- McGinty is winning by 3% in Northeast PA, Toomey's home region!

Like I said, Lean D.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #11 on: August 04, 2016, 10:40:47 PM »

BEAUTIFUL! Looks like Democrats are coming close to locking up our first five pick-ups.
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #12 on: August 05, 2016, 01:38:28 PM »

BEAUTIFUL! Looks like Democrats are coming close to locking up our first five pick-ups.
Why do you have a blue (Republican) avatar?
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