PPP-National: Clinton +5

[JRP1994]

https://t.co/ZauktuqbHF

Clinton: 46
Trump: 41
Johnson: 6
Stein: 2


Clinton: 50
Trump: 45

[Wells]

Bump??

[Ebsy]

Head to head is:

Clinton: 50
Trump: 45

Hitting that magic 50 number.

[The Other Castro]

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[HillOfANight]

Bump??

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2016/06/presidential-race-shaping-up-similarly-to-2012.html

June 30 2016
Clinton 45
Trump 41
Johnson 5
Stein 2

Clinton 48
Trump 44

Compared to their last poll, I guess she's up a point.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

EDIT: Above post beat me to it. Here's a neat find though

"Generally speaking if the election for President was today, would you vote for the Democratic or Republican candidate?"

Democrat: 50% (+5)
Republican: 43% (-1)
Other/Unsure:  7% (-4)


Plugging the presidential demographics into some sliders, I'm getting the exact same map from 2012 with the potential for Arizona and Georgia to flip.

[The Other Castro]

They also polled Harambe, the late western lowland gorilla. His net approval rating is -22, but he manages 5% in a 3-way match up with Clinton and Trump (where Clinton leads by 5).

[dspNY]

Good poll! Was hoping for a bigger lead but Clinton +5 with the battlegrounds as they are now sounds close to right, maybe understating her by 2 or 3. This also indicates that she should be tied or ahead in all the battlegrounds

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

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Yup - THIS is the main take out. When people start changing their views of you, they are going to be more receptive to listening to you. It should be noted that according to this poll, the remaining undecideds have a Democratic bent, so Clinton, at this stage, has room to grow.

[heatcharger]

Meh, I guess her bump was marginally bigger than Trump's bounce. I'm more interested in the PA poll anyways. Her favorability improving by 9 points can only be a good sign though.

[dspNY]

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Yup - THIS is the main take out. When people start changing their views of you, they are going to be more receptive to listening to you. It should be noted that according to this poll, the remaining undecideds have a Democratic bent, so Clinton, at this stage, has room to grow.

Yup, more likely to expand to Clinton +10 than to go back to a tie with her favorables almost back to even and Trump's bound to go down after his Gold Star family debacle

[The Other Castro]

It should be noted that since PPP's most recent National poll was before the RNC, we have no idea what they had the race at afterwards and what Trump's and Clinton's full bumps were.

[john cage bubblegum]

PPP has had a slight GOP tilt this cycle, so this looks about right.  Once the other national pollsters release their numbers, I think we'll see a 7-8 point average lead for Clinton.

[JerryArkansas]

It should be noted that since PPP's most recent National poll was before the RNC, we have no idea what they had the race at afterwards and what Trump's and Clinton's full bumps were.

Still, the fact that it is a return to the norm is pleasing.

[Xing]

Well, if this is to be believed, she's back to where she was prior to the RNC. Not bad.

[The Other Castro]

They also asked some interesting Russia-related questions:

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Vladimir Putin?
Favorable 7%
Unfavorable 69%
Not sure 24%

If a candidate for President was seen as friendly toward Russia would that make you more or less likely to vote for them, or would it not make a difference?
More likely 9%
Less likely 35%
Wouldn't make a difference 49%
Not sure 7%

If Russia interfered in the US Presidential election to try to help one of the candidates, would that make you more or less likely to vote for the candidate Russia was trying to help, or would it not make a difference?
More likely 5%
Less likely 52%
Wouldn't make a difference 36%
Not sure 6%

[Mehmentum]

It should be noted that since PPP's most recent National poll was before the RNC, we have no idea what they had the race at afterwards and what Trump's and Clinton's full bumps were.

Well, going by RCP's average, which peaked at Trump +1, this would suggest a 6 point bump.

[Maxwell]

Undecideds approve of Obama by 55/33, but hate Trump and Hillary about equally (something insane like 2/84 and 4/83 or something respectively). These people may just sit out.

[Dr. Arch]

Magic number 50 in PPP at last. Good news.

[heatcharger]

Undecideds approve of Obama by 55/33, but hate Trump and Hillary about equally (something insane like 2/84 and 4/83 or something respectively). These people may just sit out.

And Trump has never been above 45 with the exception to the CNN poll that came out this week. How is he going to persuade people who have a 2% favorable view of him?

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Undecideds approve of Obama by 55/33, but hate Trump and Hillary about equally (something insane like 2/84 and 4/83 or something respectively). These people may just sit out.

Which is why Obama is going to be so crucial to getting the undecideds out.

[Fusionmunster]

Its been years since Hillary's favourables have been that high in a PPP poll.

[Devout Centrist]

"Trump used fear! But nothing happened..."

[Dr. Arch]

"Trump used fear. But nothing happened..."

"He kept going and crashed..."

[Lief 🗽]

PPP usually shows some of the worst favorables of any polling firm. I wonder if Clinton will actually be NET POSITIVE in any of the polls that come out in the next few days.