buritobr
YaBB God
Posts: 3,662
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« on: July 23, 2016, 07:58:51 PM » |
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In the eve of the elections of 2004 and 2012, polls were predicting very close elections. There were forecasts for one point margin in the popular vote (or maybe zero).
Kerry had led the polls during some days in 2004. Romney had led the polls during some days in 2012.
In the end, Bush had a 2.5 point margin and Obama had a 3.9 point margin. Seldom they had these margins in the polls during the year.
What made many voters choose the incumbent on the election day? Wore the polls wrong?
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