What caused Pennsylvania's rapid Dem shift in 1952?
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  What caused Pennsylvania's rapid Dem shift in 1952?
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Author Topic: What caused Pennsylvania's rapid Dem shift in 1952?  (Read 626 times)
JRP1994
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« on: July 23, 2016, 02:51:16 PM »

Looking at Pennsylvania's margin relative to the national margin:

1928: R+13.93
1932: R+23.27
1936: R+8.22
1940: R+3.06
1944: R+4.71
1948: R+8.49
1952: D+4.97
(still Dem-leaning to this day)

What caused that rapid shift? It trended over 13 points towards the Dems in one election cycle.
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TDAS04
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« Reply #1 on: July 24, 2016, 08:47:00 AM »
« Edited: July 24, 2016, 03:07:59 PM by TDAS04 »

This has less to do with Pennsylvania in particular and more to do with national shifts. It's not that Pennsyvlania changed fundamentally (though there was definitely a move towards the Democratics within the state as the political machines took over the once Republican city of Philly) but that the South swung hugely to the Republicans in the 1950s as their Hero FDR was replaced by the uninspiring Adlai Stevenson. This made Pennsylvania a Democratic leaning state in terms of the national vote.

Then why did other Northeastern states swing so much more?

I think it was mostly the Democratic takeover of the Philly city government.  IIRC, Dewey almost carried the city in 1948.
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jaichind
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« Reply #2 on: July 24, 2016, 04:31:17 PM »

I think it has to do with the decline and fall of the GOP Philadelphia political machine after the 1930s.
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