Pence as VP candidate: help or hurt Gregg?
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  Pence as VP candidate: help or hurt Gregg?		 « previous next »
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Question: Will Pence running for VP help or hurt Gregg?
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Help
#2
Hurt
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Author Topic: Pence as VP candidate: help or hurt Gregg?  (Read 897 times)
pppolitics
Junior Chimp
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« on: July 15, 2016, 01:16:31 AM »
Will Pence running for VP help or hurt Gregg?
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #1 on: July 15, 2016, 01:17:23 AM »
Doesn't hurt Gregg, but increases Republican odds of holding the governorship.
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windjammer
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« Reply #2 on: July 15, 2016, 04:08:08 AM »
No change, unless Mitch Daniels runs
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Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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« Reply #3 on: July 15, 2016, 04:10:34 AM »
Lean help, since he does not have to run against an incumbent.
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pppolitics
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: July 15, 2016, 09:40:45 AM »
Quote from: MohamedChalid on July 15, 2016, 04:10:34 AM
Lean help, since he does not have to run against an incumbent.
He also have the time, money, and name recognition advantages.
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MyRescueKittehRocks
JohanusCalvinusLibertas
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« Reply #5 on: July 15, 2016, 07:29:01 PM »
It kills his chances. Safe GOP
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Xing
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« Reply #6 on: July 15, 2016, 07:31:53 PM »
On balance, his odds probably haven't changed. He doesn't have the benefit of running against an unpopular incumbent, but he probably has a structural advantage, since the new Republican will have to catch up in fundraising and organization.
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Progressive
jro660
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« Reply #7 on: July 16, 2016, 08:18:20 PM »
Since Pence will constantly be in the spotlight, Gregg can essentially tie the GOP challenger to the Trump-Pence idiocy, AND, Pence's record as a failure in Indiana. I say it's a double win.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #8 on: July 16, 2016, 10:11:41 PM »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on July 15, 2016, 01:17:23 AM
Doesn't hurt Gregg, but increases Republican odds of holding the governorship.
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Flake
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« Reply #9 on: July 17, 2016, 12:27:23 AM »
Helps Gregg a little bit, but I'm not sure it would be enough for him to win the governorship.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #10 on: July 17, 2016, 04:04:51 AM »
Help. Unseating incumbents is more difficult in most cases than defeating another challanger.

An option for the Republicans could be that Pence resigns and elevates his Lt. Governor (who ever this is?) to the chief executive's chair, who runs as the incumbent for reelection. As I see it, the Lt. Gov. is not in the race?
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Bismarck
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« Reply #11 on: July 17, 2016, 11:46:51 AM »
It hurts Gregg. Generic R like Holcomb or Brooks beats Gregg. Pence was favored to win anyway and he had alienated a lot of lean R suburbanites, which is the core of the Indiana GOP. Both Brooks and Holcomb would get back to almost 70 % in the suburbs which is what Romney got (Daniels got like 80 %). Pence got in the low 60s I believe.
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BuckeyeNut
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« Reply #12 on: July 18, 2016, 12:16:50 AM »
Small help. It's wholly possible the IN GOP will be without a gubernatorial candidate for a month, and that's a long time in politics. Gregg can build a new platform that's more than "I am not Mike Pence," and it means whoever the GOP candidate is will have little time to establish statewide name ID.
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