NBC/WSJ: Fl, VA, CO, NC
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  NBC/WSJ: Fl, VA, CO, NC
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Author Topic: NBC/WSJ: Fl, VA, CO, NC  (Read 951 times)
Terry the Fat Shark
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« on: July 14, 2016, 11:04:43 PM »

https://twitter.com/mmurraypolitics/status/753802026723663872

FL: Rubio 47, Murphy 44
CO: Bennet 53, Glenn 38
NC: Burr 48, Ross 41
NC: Cooper 49, McCrory 45

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Ebsy
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« Reply #1 on: July 14, 2016, 11:08:30 PM »

Confirms what most of us knew: Glenn is DOA in Colorado, Murphy and Rubio are close in Florida, and NC is still a sleeper race.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #2 on: July 14, 2016, 11:12:28 PM »

Burr outperforming Trump by 13 points means Democrats have failed to link Trump to the GOP as a whole so far.
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syntaxerror
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« Reply #3 on: July 14, 2016, 11:29:36 PM »

NC Senate is a tough one.

Ross struggling with name recognition, but Burr isn't particularly popular either. She's outraising him too.

Think she may be able to pull a Kay Hagan.
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Devils30
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« Reply #4 on: July 14, 2016, 11:42:51 PM »

Murphy is still unknown in Florida. If Clinton carries Florida by over 5, Rubio will struggle with the late deciders against Trump. It's hard to predict exactly what's gonna happen.
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Vosem
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« Reply #5 on: July 14, 2016, 11:52:32 PM »

Burr outperforming Trump by 13 and Rubio outperforming Trump by 8 sends a very certain message very loud and clear.

NC Senate is a tough one.

Ross struggling with name recognition, but Burr isn't particularly popular either. She's outraising him too.

Think she may be able to pull a Kay Hagan.

Sure, you might have predictions about how the rest of this campaign will go, and Ross can certainly still win, but I don't think you can spin this poll into anything other than terrible news for her. She's down 7 even as her presidential nominee is up by much more than anyone expected her to be up.

Similarly, while Florida is much closer, this can't be spun as positive news for Murphy.

Murphy is still unknown in Florida. If Clinton carries Florida by over 5, Rubio will struggle with the late deciders against Trump. It's hard to predict exactly what's gonna happen.

The "by over 5" qualifier is unnecessary; if Clinton wins Florida, Rubio will struggle with undecideds. That said, if his margin really is 8 points ahead of Trump's, he really should be fine regardless.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #6 on: July 15, 2016, 12:10:33 AM »

Murphy is still unknown in Florida. If Clinton carries Florida by over 5, Rubio will struggle with the late deciders against Trump. It's hard to predict exactly what's gonna happen.

I highly doubt this is true. Why are only 9% undecided/other then? Democrats and left-leaning Independents don't just go to the Republican if they don't know the Democrat. Regardless it should concern Democrats that Murphy is running 10 points behind Clinton (margin wise) as much as Atlas hates Rubio and wants him to lose.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #7 on: July 15, 2016, 01:02:22 AM »

So Marist, SurveyUSA, and PPP say Florida is close. Quinnipiac and Rick Scott's internal polls say Rubio is winning in a landslide. Who to believe?!
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Panda Express
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« Reply #8 on: July 15, 2016, 02:03:23 AM »

Bad news for Rubio. If Incumbent Golden Boy Future Of The Republican Party Media Darling Handsome Marco Rubio can barely lead when Murphy is locked in a tight primary race and after his "scandal", he's basically done for. Stick a fork in him.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #9 on: July 15, 2016, 08:10:39 AM »

I don't see how "Little Marco" threads the needle of running for Senate on the same line as an unpopular Presidential candidate who he both cozied up to and slammed in really immature ways. While I am sure lots of Cuban-Americans will split their votes to support him and he'll run ahead of Trump, he's got to be seriously damaged goods with hours of video ready to runa gainst him.
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