NBC/WSJ: Fl, VA, CO, NC (user search)
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  NBC/WSJ: Fl, VA, CO, NC (search mode)
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Author Topic: NBC/WSJ: Fl, VA, CO, NC  (Read 912 times)
Vosem
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Posts: 15,633
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Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09

« on: July 14, 2016, 11:52:32 PM »

Burr outperforming Trump by 13 and Rubio outperforming Trump by 8 sends a very certain message very loud and clear.

NC Senate is a tough one.

Ross struggling with name recognition, but Burr isn't particularly popular either. She's outraising him too.

Think she may be able to pull a Kay Hagan.

Sure, you might have predictions about how the rest of this campaign will go, and Ross can certainly still win, but I don't think you can spin this poll into anything other than terrible news for her. She's down 7 even as her presidential nominee is up by much more than anyone expected her to be up.

Similarly, while Florida is much closer, this can't be spun as positive news for Murphy.

Murphy is still unknown in Florida. If Clinton carries Florida by over 5, Rubio will struggle with the late deciders against Trump. It's hard to predict exactly what's gonna happen.

The "by over 5" qualifier is unnecessary; if Clinton wins Florida, Rubio will struggle with undecideds. That said, if his margin really is 8 points ahead of Trump's, he really should be fine regardless.
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