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November 25, 2020, 06:20:15 AM
News: 2020 Election day live thread: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=409870.0

  Talk Elections
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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  Morning Consult polls every state (search mode)
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Author Topic: Morning Consult polls every state  (Read 4875 times)
pbrower2a
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Posts: 23,627
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« on: July 14, 2016, 11:22:05 AM »

Clinton winning Georgia while losing North Carolina? Maine going R?

I'm not using any of this except where I have no poll. And then... no.
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pbrower2a
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Posts: 23,627
United States


« Reply #1 on: July 15, 2016, 07:47:04 PM »
« Edited: July 16, 2016, 10:57:18 AM by pbrower2a »

For what it is worth, here is the collection of Morning Consult polls of all 50 states.



margin   saturation

30+          9
15-29       7
9-14         6
5-8           5
4              4 (usual margin of error)
1-3           2
tie            white  


Useful only in the absence of other evidence. But this said, no way is Hillary Clinton winning New Mexico by a mere 3% or Delaware by a mere 5% or Donald Trump winning Idaho by a mere 11% or Oklahoma by a mere 14%. No way, also, is Hillary Clinton winning Georgia while losing North Carolina.
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