2016: Donald Trump vs. Bernard Sanders (after Clinton indictment)

[President Johnson]

Hilldog gets indicted right before the Democratic National Convention. Although the DNC wants Biden to step in, the Vice President declines and says that Bernard should be the nominee, since he got the second most primary votes. Obama joins Biden and declares his support for a Sanders nomination.

The Democratic establishment resigns in its opposition and nominates Bernard. He faces TRUMP in the general election. What happens?

[Kingpoleon]

305: Donald Trump/Condoleezza Rice - 53.0%
233: Bernie Sanders/Mark Begich - 44.0%

Others - 3.0%

[Heisenberg]

343: Donald Trump/Newt Gingrich - 54.0%
195: Bernie Sanders/Keith Ellison - 43.0%

Others - 3.0%

[President Johnson]

343: Donald Trump/Newt Gingrich - 54.0%
195: Bernie Sanders/Keith Ellison - 43.0%

Others - 3.0%

How does TRUMP win Minnesota and Nevada while he loses New Hampshire and Maine-02? Bernard's strenth in the north-east because he's from Vermont?

[Heisenberg]

343: Donald Trump/Newt Gingrich - 54.0%
195: Bernie Sanders/Keith Ellison - 43.0%

Others - 3.0%

How does TRUMP win Minnesota and Nevada while he loses New Hampshire and Maine-02? Bernard's strenth in the north-east because he's from Vermont?

Nevada: His strength is mostly from outside Clark County, including Reno. And his margin of defeat in Clark County is smaller due to his ties to the casino and hotel industries.
Minnesota: He narrowly edges a win, despite the state's historic liberalism and Ellison (who has never even won statewide) on the ticket. The wave pushes him above Sanders, and his populist campaign helps him do better in CD 7 and 8, probably even pushing Westrom and Mills to victory.
New Hampshire: It's not really a swing state anymore. Too Democratic for Trump, IMO. But if he's won NV, MN, WI, PA, and VA, maybe he wins this too.
Maine-02: Totally forgot about this. Trump would probably narrowly win this if he does that well nationwide.