Rasmussen National Poll: Trump +4 ?!?!?!?!?!?!?!? (user search)
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  Rasmussen National Poll: Trump +4 ?!?!?!?!?!?!?!? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Rasmussen National Poll: Trump +4 ?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?  (Read 2614 times)
Devout Centrist
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Posts: 10,126
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Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

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« on: July 03, 2016, 11:03:16 AM »

Nine point swing from their last poll that had Clinton up by 5 points, with no explanation whatsoever.
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Devout Centrist
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Posts: 10,126
United States


Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

P P
« Reply #1 on: July 03, 2016, 12:24:22 PM »

Not every poll you disagree with is incorrect. Sorry.
How do you explain a nine point swing in Trump's favor when other polls don't show the same situation happening and nothing of note could have caused it?
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Devout Centrist
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*****
Posts: 10,126
United States


Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

P P
« Reply #2 on: July 04, 2016, 06:33:10 AM »

Not every poll you disagree with is incorrect. Sorry.

Not every poll whose outcome you like is correct. Sorry.

Agreed, but compare that to outliers like Reuters that are +10 for Clinton that aren't being heavily disputed or accused by Atlas Dems of partisan bias.
Reuters/Ipsos hasn't called the election wrong in the past.
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Devout Centrist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,126
United States


Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

P P
« Reply #3 on: July 05, 2016, 02:15:54 PM »

Nine point swing from their last poll that had Clinton up by 5 points, with no explanation whatsoever.
Polling is not a perfect science. Every pollster is going to get an outlier every once in a while. Since one of these things is not like the other with the Rassy poll vs. the rest of the polls out there, it has to be looked at that way.

Just like the Washington Post/ABC News poll does on the Hillary! side. The good news is that we have plenty of data points to look at where we can quickly figure out where the outliers are.
Right, but usually pollsters are consistent, even if they're wrong. That's a lot of precision, but low accuracy.

This has neither, it appears.
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