Quinnipiac national poll: Clinton 45% Trump 41%
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 27, 2024, 04:04:15 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  Quinnipiac national poll: Clinton 45% Trump 41%
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Quinnipiac national poll: Clinton 45% Trump 41%  (Read 1030 times)
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,073
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: June 01, 2016, 05:10:02 AM »

Quinnipiac national poll, conducted May 24-30:

http://www.qu.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2352

Clinton 45%
Trump 41%

Clinton 40%
Trump 38%
Johnson 5%
Stein 3%

Sanders 48%
Trump 39%
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,857
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: June 01, 2016, 05:12:19 AM »

That's actually better than expected coming from Quinnipiac which has consistently been one of the worst pollsters for Clinton.
Logged
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,073
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: June 01, 2016, 05:23:14 AM »

Obviously, these #s have Clinton losing a bit more support than Trump when going from a 2-way race to a 4-way race, but it’s more Independents than Democrats that Clinton loses to Johnson/Stein.

Indies in the 2-way race:
Trump 40%
Clinton 37%

Indies in the 4-way race:
Trump 36%
Clinton 29%
Johnson 10%
Stein 7%

Johnson and Stein also both do markedly better with youngs than olds.  They also both do well with Hispanics….

Hispanics in the 4-way race:
Clinton 57%
Trump 15%
Johnson 10%
Stein 5%

Johnson and Stein also have rock bottom name recognition:

fav/unfav %:
Sanders 44/38% for +6%
Johnson 8/8% for +/-0
Stein 5/6% for -1%
Clinton 37/57% for -20%
Trump 34/59% for -25%
Logged
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,073
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: June 01, 2016, 05:27:48 AM »

In the 2-way race:

men:
Trump 51%
Clinton 35%

women:
Clinton 54%
Trump 30%

A 40 point gender gap?
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: June 01, 2016, 07:51:43 AM »

But henster, jfern, StatePolls, etc. told me Hillary was doomed. Trump will win NY, CA, NJ, and OR! Not even DC is safe!
Logged
StatesPoll
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 441
WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: June 01, 2016, 08:28:49 AM »

But henster, jfern, StatePolls, etc. told me Hillary was doomed. Trump will win NY, CA, NJ, and OR! Not even DC is safe!

I really don't get it why are you so excited by 2% National Poll leads.

Election 2012, despite of Romney lost to obama of Popular votes, 47 - 51
If he flipped FL/OH/PA or MI, (he just needed +0.3% popular votes more)  he could win

And as I posted before, TRUMP has an edge of electoral votes.
Blue states population growing is higher than Red states
(especially CA,NY,IL)
But electraote numbers didn't change.

TRUMP can beat Hillary, even the case Hillary gets +4.4% more popular votes than TRUMP.

Get this through your head
Hillary got 2% more than TRUMP in National Poll = She is losing on electoral votes battle



Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,044
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: June 01, 2016, 08:30:06 AM »

But henster, jfern, StatePolls, etc. told me Hillary was doomed. Trump will win NY, CA, NJ, and OR! Not even DC is safe!

I really don't get it why are you so excited by 2% National Poll leads.

Election 2012, despite of Romney lost to obama of Popular votes, 47 - 51
If he flipped FL/OH/PA or MI, (he just needed +0.3% popular votes more)  he could win

And as I posted before, TRUMP has an edge of electoral votes.
Blue states population growing is higher than Red states
(especially CA,NY,IL)
But electraote numbers didn't change.

TRUMP can beat Hillary, even the case Hillary gets +4.4% more popular votes than TRUMP.

Get this through your head
Hillary got 2% more than TRUMP in National Poll = She is losing on electoral votes battle

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_elections_electoral_college_map.html
Logged
Dumbo
Rookie
**
Posts: 210
Germany


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: June 01, 2016, 09:40:43 AM »

Quote from: Restricted
You must be logged in to read this quote.
No, CLINTON has an edge of electoral votes because black, latino,
hispanic population growing ist higher than white population growing.
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: June 01, 2016, 10:27:47 AM »

Wow! Clinton-mentum just isn't gonna stop.
Logged
StatesPoll
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 441
WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: June 01, 2016, 10:28:40 AM »
« Edited: June 01, 2016, 10:33:04 AM by StatesPoll »

Quote from: Restricted
You must be logged in to read this quote.
No, CLINTON has an edge of electoral votes because black, latino,
hispanic population growing ist higher than white population growing.

I mean edge of [Compare with Population share & Electorate Numbers]
 

Plus, Hispanic population growing in CA,NY,IL it can't help Hillary Clinton.

 
Logged
Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,755
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: June 01, 2016, 10:32:42 AM »

Hispanic population growth in CA, IL and NY may not be a big help to Democrats nationwide (other than further locking up those states for them), but it helps in Congressional, state legislature and statewide races. Roll Eyes There are more House seats that Democrats can scoop up in California, and they might this year with higher Hispanic turnout and suppressed Republican turnout because of Trump and having two Democrats on the ballot for the Senate race.
Logged
Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
Sprouts
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,764
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: 1.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: June 01, 2016, 11:37:59 AM »

#Repealthe19th
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.041 seconds with 12 queries.