2016 scenarios in which Trump loses nomination or there’s a contested convention

[Mr. Morden]

Politico has a few possibilities:

http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/05/stop-donald-trump-2016-gop-alternate-reality-213887

Would any of these resulted in either a contested convention, or a Trump loss of the nomination?  Any others that you can think of?  What about just a slightly different combination of candidates running, or candidates dropping out at different times?  E.g., if the “establishment lane” had been less crowded, or included different people, would that have mattered?

[Sir Mohamed]

✓ Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/HUD Secretary Julian Castro (D-TX): 364 EV. (53.4%)
Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX)/Businesswoman Carly Fiorina (R-CA): 174 EV. (45.7%)

[President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️]

September 7, 1945: Fred Trump dies of a heart attack at 2 PM. That night, he would have conceived Donald John Trump. A bit extreme, but why not?
Fast forward to June 30, 2015. Chris Christie announces his campaign for President.
February 1, 2016: Christie pulls a surprise win in Iowa, 29% to Cruz's 28%. This gives him solid momentum into NH and other early states.
May 3, 2016: With 53% of the vote in for Christie in Indiana, Cruz drops out of the race, and Reince Priebus labels Christie the presumptive nominee.
June 25, 2016: Christie announces his VP pick as John Kasich.
June 26, 2016: Hillary Clinton chooses Tim Kaine as VP.
November 8, 2016: The election occurs. Pennsylvania is still too close to call on Wednesday morning.

Secretary Hillary Clinton (D-NY) / Senator Tim Kaine (D-VA) - 265/48.89%
Governor Chris Christie (R-NJ) / Governor John Kasich (R-OH) - 253/48.87%
December 13, 2016: The Supreme Court ties, so the election is bound for Congress.
January 6, 2017: Congress selects Chris Christie as President, and Senate selects Tim Kaine as Vice President.
January 20, 2017: "I, Christopher James Christie, do solemnly swear..." Christie states as he is inaugurated.
March 31, 2017: When two recounts match, Christie finally wins Pennsylvania with 57 votes.

Governor Chris Christie (R-NJ) / Governor John Kasich (R-OH) - 273/48.87%
Secretary Hillary Clinton (D-NY) / Senator Tim Kaine (D-VA) - 265/48.89%