NBC/WSJ National Democratic Poll: Clinton leads by 2 points (user search)
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  NBC/WSJ National Democratic Poll: Clinton leads by 2 points (search mode)
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Author Topic: NBC/WSJ National Democratic Poll: Clinton leads by 2 points  (Read 1898 times)
Gass3268
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« on: April 18, 2016, 01:25:22 PM »

Outside of the possibility of a large portion of people who voted for Hillary changing their minds, Im really just starting to think Sanders supporters are more likely to participate in national polls now. Shes leading the popular vote by a large margin and is about to win a host of states by large margins, this does not look like a tied race outside of national polling.

It's probably a mix of the two points that you brought up (Clinton supporters switching to Sanders and Sanders supporters more likely to participate in polls), plus Sanders supporters not voting or non-voters now supporting Sanders after their primary/caucus has passed.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1 on: April 18, 2016, 03:55:41 PM »

If this is a tied race then NY will be a close to a tie tomorrow. But it's not, so it won't.

New York isn't an accurate national bellwether for the Democratic Primary when Independents are being disenfranchised.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2 on: April 19, 2016, 08:08:06 AM »

If this is a tied race then NY will be a close to a tie tomorrow. But it's not, so it won't.

New York isn't an accurate national bellwether for the Democratic Primary when Independents are being disenfranchised.

They're not being disenfranchised. They disenfranchised themselves by not registering Democratic. Why should Democrats allow interlopers into their primary in the first place?

When you have to declare for a party in October, before most people care about the primary process, you're being disenfranchised. Good news is it sounds like there might be push at the DNC to change the rules to require open primaries or at least modified closed (allowing of Independents). 
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Gass3268
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Posts: 27,527
United States


« Reply #3 on: April 19, 2016, 09:44:24 AM »

If this is a tied race then NY will be a close to a tie tomorrow. But it's not, so it won't.

New York isn't an accurate national bellwether for the Democratic Primary when Independents are being disenfranchised.

They're not being disenfranchised. They disenfranchised themselves by not registering Democratic. Why should Democrats allow interlopers into their primary in the first place?

When you have to declare for a party in October, before most people care about the primary process, you're being disenfranchised. Good news is it sounds like there might be push at the DNC to change the rules to require open primaries or at least modified closed (allowing of Independents). 

While they're at it maybe they could get rid of caucuses, you know, the most extreme form of voter suppression currently being used? You okay with that too?

I've been against caucuses since Iowa and Nevada.
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