PA-Quinnipiac: Toomey leads Sestak and McGinty
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  PA-Quinnipiac: Toomey leads Sestak and McGinty
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Author Topic: PA-Quinnipiac: Toomey leads Sestak and McGinty  (Read 2661 times)
MT Treasurer
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« on: April 07, 2016, 05:03:08 AM »

Pat Toomey (R, inc.): 47%
Joe Sestak (D): 39%

Pat Toomey (R, inc.): 47%
Katie McGinty (D): 38%

Toomey (R) approval rating: 50/29
Wolf (D) approval rating: 35/52

https://www.qu.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/pennsylvania/release-detail?ReleaseID=2342
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #1 on: April 07, 2016, 05:30:10 AM »

Those who were following politics in 2004 will now surely be somewhat amazed at Toomey's approval rating.
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Slow Learner
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« Reply #2 on: April 07, 2016, 05:45:55 AM »

Those are some odd approval numbers. Didn't Toomey have a 29% rating only a few months ago?
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Skye
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« Reply #3 on: April 07, 2016, 06:14:17 AM »

Wait I thought Wolf's approval rating were fine. What happened?
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« Reply #4 on: April 07, 2016, 06:21:42 AM »

Those are some odd approval numbers. Didn't Toomey have a 29% rating only a few months ago?

Almost the same 47-26 here.
https://morningconsult.com/2015/11/bernie-sanders-is-the-most-popular-senator-in-america/
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #5 on: April 07, 2016, 07:14:38 AM »

Wait I thought Wolf's approval rating were fine. What happened?

They used their primary sample which probably skews Republican. All other pollsters show entirely different numbers for both Toomey anf Wolf.
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Sir Mohamed 🇺🇸 🇺🇦
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« Reply #6 on: April 07, 2016, 09:38:42 AM »

PA is not really a competitive race this year, although some observers say its a toss-up.
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14 Down, 36 To Go
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« Reply #7 on: April 07, 2016, 09:41:37 AM »

Not saying it's Safe R, but, if we have to worry about this one, we've probably already lost both the Senate and the White House.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #8 on: April 08, 2016, 01:36:46 AM »

Those approval ratings can't be right.
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Comrade Funk
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« Reply #9 on: April 08, 2016, 11:27:14 AM »

The Democratic establishment better support Sestek if he wins the primary. Enough with the high school crap
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Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« Reply #10 on: April 08, 2016, 01:18:15 PM »

LR for now, best off in OH
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #11 on: April 08, 2016, 11:46:42 PM »
« Edited: April 08, 2016, 11:53:34 PM by Sprouts Farmers Market »

Those approval ratings can't be right.

Why? I've yet to meet someone who has a nice word to say about our governor, and he's one of my favorite Democrats. Everyone just thinks he's doing an extremely poor job - basically an unmitigated disaster. Franklin & Marshall has him at an even worse 31%.

e: if the problem is with Toomey then maybe I could understand. I'm surprised that many people can answer the question about him. I don't think it's unrealistic for 7-8% to change their mind on him and cause the massive upward spike from an even split. It might be slightly too high but nothing egregious.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #12 on: April 09, 2016, 01:17:21 AM »

Those approval ratings can't be right.

Why? I've yet to meet someone who has a nice word to say about our governor, and he's one of my favorite Democrats. Everyone just thinks he's doing an extremely poor job - basically an unmitigated disaster. Franklin & Marshall has him at an even worse 31%.

e: if the problem is with Toomey then maybe I could understand. I'm surprised that many people can answer the question about him. I don't think it's unrealistic for 7-8% to change their mind on him and cause the massive upward spike from an even split. It might be slightly too high but nothing egregious.

It'd be hilarious if PA ended up with two one-term Toms in a row.
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Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« Reply #13 on: April 10, 2016, 07:13:26 PM »

QU has been tough on Dems in Pa Senate. Its not a PPP poll
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Coolface Sock #42069
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« Reply #14 on: April 10, 2016, 08:08:51 PM »

Pat Toomey (R, inc.): 47%
Joe Sestak (D): 39%

Pat Toomey (R, inc.): 47%
Katie McGinty (D): 38%

Toomey (R) approval rating: 50/29
Wolf (D) approval rating: 35/52

https://www.qu.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/pennsylvania/release-detail?ReleaseID=2342
Ouch!
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Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« Reply #15 on: April 10, 2016, 09:28:12 PM »
« Edited: April 10, 2016, 09:29:57 PM by Da-Jon »

Pat Toomey (R, inc.): 47%
Joe Sestak (D): 39%

Pat Toomey (R, inc.): 47%
Katie McGinty (D): 38%

Toomey (R) approval rating: 50/29
Wolf (D) approval rating: 35/52


https://www.qu.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/pennsylvania/release-detail?ReleaseID=2342
Ouch!

I think we all know what happened in 2010. Sestak was down 10 in June and closed within 2.  Pa and OH and NH are gonna be close.
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #16 on: April 10, 2016, 10:27:25 PM »

The race will likely be closer, but I can see Toomey winning by about 2 or 3 points.  It should be noted that Pennsylvania has had a history of reelecting Republicans during presidential years while voting for the Democrat in the presidential election.  If there were enough Gore-Santorum voters in 2000, then I think Toomey has a 60-40 shot or so at winning. Tilt R at the moment.
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Coolface Sock #42069
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« Reply #17 on: April 10, 2016, 10:45:05 PM »

Pat Toomey (R, inc.): 47%
Joe Sestak (D): 39%

Pat Toomey (R, inc.): 47%
Katie McGinty (D): 38%

Toomey (R) approval rating: 50/29
Wolf (D) approval rating: 35/52


https://www.qu.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/pennsylvania/release-detail?ReleaseID=2342
Ouch!

I think we all know what happened in 2010. Sestak was down 10 in June and closed within 2.  Pa and OH and NH are gonna be close.
I don't necessarily disagree, but that has nothing to do with Wolf's abysmal approval rating.
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Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« Reply #18 on: April 11, 2016, 09:33:28 AM »

Clinton is doing well in Pa 45/42 despite Gov Wolf approval to pull our Dem Senator across. Anyways the PPP polls have been alot closer.
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Figueira
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« Reply #19 on: April 13, 2016, 08:06:16 PM »

PA is not really a competitive race this year, although some observers say its a toss-up.

It's definitely a competitive race. You might think that one candidate will eventually prevail, but that doesn't mean it's not competitive.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #20 on: April 13, 2016, 08:20:29 PM »

Tilts/Leans D with Sestak, Tilts R with McGinty.
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Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« Reply #21 on: April 13, 2016, 08:26:03 PM »

As long as Clinton holds a lead in Pa, Sestak will have a fighting chance. This isn't 2004 when Specter who was much more moderate than Santorum or Toomey prevailed in election year.
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #22 on: April 13, 2016, 08:33:55 PM »

As long as Clinton holds a lead in Pa, Sestak will have a fighting chance. This isn't 2004 when Specter who was much more moderate than Santorum or Toomey prevailed in election year.
Maybe this ends up like 2000, when there were a considerable number of Gore/Santorum ticket splits.  That has always surprised me, that both won in PA at the same time.  Santorum is no Specter, and is very conservative.
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Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« Reply #23 on: April 13, 2016, 08:48:57 PM »

Dems aren't winning election without IL, WI, NH, CO, NV and Pa senate races that will mimic the 272 map.
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Citizen (The) Doctor
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« Reply #24 on: April 18, 2016, 05:39:54 PM »

I'd like to see the dynamics of this race into summer. Trump will undoubtedly be campaigning in Pennsylvania and seeing him with Toomey might be enough to remind voters how conservative Toomey actually is.
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