Democratic Wisconsin Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET)

[Mr. Morden]

Age distribution:

Looks good for Hillary

one quarter of the electorate over 65

63% of the electorate over 45

For reference, in Michigan, it was:
18-29: 19%
30-44: 26%
45-64: 35%
65+: 20%

In Wisconsin in 2008, it was:
18-29: 16%
30-44: 22%
45-59: 34%
60+: 29%

[IceSpear]

Am I the only one who has been surprised the polls have been showing this so close? Wisconsin seems like a tailor made state for Bernie, except for the fact that it's a primary rather than a caucus. Even then, it's an open primary.

It's still very possible the polls were junk and he'll win in a blowout, but if this is a single digit race...any theories?

[The Other Castro]

Am I the only one who has been surprised the polls have been showing this so close? Wisconsin seems like a tailor made state for Bernie, except for the fact that it's a primary rather than a caucus. Even then, it's an open primary.

It's still very possible the polls were junk and he'll win in a blowout, but if this is a single digit race...any theories?

If these exit polls are correct, the high number of older voters would be a big factor. We'll have to wait for the revised exit polls later tonight to know for sure what the key areas of interest are.

[BundouYMB]

Am I the only one who has been surprised the polls have been showing this so close? Wisconsin seems like a tailor made state for Bernie, except for the fact that it's a primary rather than a caucus. Even then, it's an open primary.

It's still very possible the polls were junk and he'll win in a blowout, but if this is a single digit race...any theories?

Because he's losing nationally. In a landslide. Clinton will have won the popular vote by double digits when the primary is over.

[Wiz in Wis]

Am I the only one who has been surprised the polls have been showing this so close? Wisconsin seems like a tailor made state for Bernie, except for the fact that it's a primary rather than a caucus. Even then, it's an open primary.

It's still very possible the polls were junk and he'll win in a blowout, but if this is a single digit race...any theories?

Wisconsin Dems race is covered as if it's all Dane County. Sanders will, indeed, win a blowout here... but the rest of the state is far less liberal, and quite a bit older, on average.

[Mehmentum]

Am I the only one who has been surprised the polls have been showing this so close? Wisconsin seems like a tailor made state for Bernie, except for the fact that it's a primary rather than a caucus. Even then, it's an open primary.

It's still very possible the polls were junk and he'll win in a blowout, but if this is a single digit race...any theories?

Sanders just doesn't do that well outside of caucuses.  Wisconsin would be only his fifth primary win so far, and even then he only really got blowouts in the upper New England primaries.

[Gass3268]

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Should be good news for Sanders and Trump.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Am I the only one who has been surprised the polls have been showing this so close? Wisconsin seems like a tailor made state for Bernie, except for the fact that it's a primary rather than a caucus. Even then, it's an open primary.

It's still very possible the polls were junk and he'll win in a blowout, but if this is a single digit race...any theories?

Sanders just doesn't do that well outside of caucuses.  Wisconsin would be only his fifth primary win so far, and even then he only really got blowouts in the upper New England primaries.

And Queen Hillary just doesn't do that great outside of the South.

[Wiz in Wis]

Am I the only one who has been surprised the polls have been showing this so close? Wisconsin seems like a tailor made state for Bernie, except for the fact that it's a primary rather than a caucus. Even then, it's an open primary.

It's still very possible the polls were junk and he'll win in a blowout, but if this is a single digit race...any theories?

Sanders just doesn't do that well outside of caucuses.  Wisconsin would be only his fifth primary win so far, and even then he only really got blowouts in the upper New England primaries.

And Queen Hillary just doesn't do that great outside of the South.

Except in Ohio and Arizona.

[Lief 🗽]

Am I the only one who has been surprised the polls have been showing this so close? Wisconsin seems like a tailor made state for Bernie, except for the fact that it's a primary rather than a caucus. Even then, it's an open primary.

It's still very possible the polls were junk and he'll win in a blowout, but if this is a single digit race...any theories?

Sanders just doesn't do that well outside of caucuses.  Wisconsin would be only his fifth primary win so far, and even then he only really got blowouts in the upper New England primaries.

And Queen Hillary just doesn't do that great outside of the South.

If by "the South" you mean everything south of the Michigan-Ohio border, sure.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Am I the only one who has been surprised the polls have been showing this so close? Wisconsin seems like a tailor made state for Bernie, except for the fact that it's a primary rather than a caucus. Even then, it's an open primary.

It's still very possible the polls were junk and he'll win in a blowout, but if this is a single digit race...any theories?

Sanders just doesn't do that well outside of caucuses.  Wisconsin would be only his fifth primary win so far, and even then he only really got blowouts in the upper New England primaries.

And Queen Hillary just doesn't do that great outside of the South.

Except in Ohio and Arizona.

And Massachusetts

[Crumpets]

Am I the only one who has been surprised the polls have been showing this so close? Wisconsin seems like a tailor made state for Bernie, except for the fact that it's a primary rather than a caucus. Even then, it's an open primary.

It's still very possible the polls were junk and he'll win in a blowout, but if this is a single digit race...any theories?

Sanders just doesn't do that well outside of caucuses.  Wisconsin would be only his fifth primary win so far, and even then he only really got blowouts in the upper New England primaries.

And Queen Hillary just doesn't do that great outside of the South.

Except in Ohio and Arizona.

And Massachusetts

And Illinois and Nevada.

[Wiz in Wis]

Am I the only one who has been surprised the polls have been showing this so close? Wisconsin seems like a tailor made state for Bernie, except for the fact that it's a primary rather than a caucus. Even then, it's an open primary.

It's still very possible the polls were junk and he'll win in a blowout, but if this is a single digit race...any theories?

Sanders just doesn't do that well outside of caucuses.  Wisconsin would be only his fifth primary win so far, and even then he only really got blowouts in the upper New England primaries.

And Queen Hillary just doesn't do that great outside of the South.

Except in Ohio and Arizona.

And Massachusetts

And Illinois and Nevada.

I was just counting the double digit wins... but fair points all around.

[Eraserhead]

Am I the only one who has been surprised the polls have been showing this so close? Wisconsin seems like a tailor made state for Bernie, except for the fact that it's a primary rather than a caucus. Even then, it's an open primary.

It's still very possible the polls were junk and he'll win in a blowout, but if this is a single digit race...any theories?

Sanders just doesn't do that well outside of caucuses.  Wisconsin would be only his fifth primary win so far, and even then he only really got blowouts in the upper New England primaries.

And Queen Hillary just doesn't do that great outside of the South.

Except in Ohio and Arizona.

And Massachusetts

I wouldn't exactly say she did "great" there. She won by a point.

[Lief 🗽]

It's gonna be fun in June when Hockeydude has to admit that his beloved New Jersey is part of the Confederacy.

[Xing]

If Bernie only wins by a low single-digit margin, it could be because of high turnout in Milwaukee, him underperforming in Madison, Clinton winning the Green Bay area, or possibly Wisconsinite liking Sanders but being somewhat hesitant to vote for him (like in Ohio).

It's useless to try and dissect potential results, though. Only an hour before we start getting some real results!

[Gass3268]

So many lines, especially at universities, thank you Walker!

[Fusionmunster]

So many lines, especially at universities, thank you Walker!

I wonder how many people are getting there and being told they cant vote because they dont have proper ID. What a nightmare.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

It's gonna be fun in June when Hockeydude has to admit that his beloved New Jersey is part of the Confederacy.

We have dated, oppressive, voter suppression laws having to do with having to declare party affiliation or some such nonsense.  I don't really count them as legitimate.

[Crumpets]

So many lines, especially at universities, thank you Walker!

I wonder how many people are getting there and being told they cant vote because they dont have proper ID. What a nightmare.

And of course because of how this campaign is going, their first thought will be to blame the DNC and the Clinton campaign, and not Scott Walker. Just something to consider.

[Gass3268]

So many lines, especially at universities, thank you Walker!

I wonder how many people are getting there and being told they cant vote because they dont have proper ID. What a nightmare.

The problem is that poll workers don't even know some of the rules/laws. I've heard some stories of people getting turned away because their ID doesn't match their current address. It doesn't have to be, it just has to be a valid ID. Once they get the person in charge things are usually straightened out, but it takes time.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Just saw on MSNBC some people have been waiting for several hours. This is pure insanity.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Am I the only one who has been surprised the polls have been showing this so close? Wisconsin seems like a tailor made state for Bernie, except for the fact that it's a primary rather than a caucus. Even then, it's an open primary.

It's still very possible the polls were junk and he'll win in a blowout, but if this is a single digit race...any theories?

Sanders just doesn't do that well outside of caucuses.  Wisconsin would be only his fifth primary win so far, and even then he only really got blowouts in the upper New England primaries.

And Queen Hillary just doesn't do that great outside of the South.

Except in Ohio and Arizona.

And Massachusetts

I wouldn't exactly say she did "great" there. She won by a point.

And Bernie certainly didnt do that great in the primary states of NH, OK, VT, WI, and MI... I guess.  

I love the smuggness of Hillary supporters.  Wasn't this supposed to be some Gore 2000-type coronation?  SAD!  

[Lief 🗽]

It's gonna be fun in June when Hockeydude has to admit that his beloved New Jersey is part of the Confederacy.

We have dated, oppressive, voter suppression laws having to do with having to declare party affiliation or some such nonsense.  I don't really count them as legitimate.

Weird that your state only lets Democrats vote for the Democratic nominee. Really hard to understand the logic behind that one.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Walker needs some good ol' fashioned H, D, and Q.