Democratic Wisconsin Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET)
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  Democratic Wisconsin Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET)
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Author Topic: Democratic Wisconsin Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET)  (Read 19178 times)
standwrand
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« Reply #100 on: April 05, 2016, 04:48:26 PM »

Honest and Trustwory:

Sanders 90%
Clinton 59%

lol
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Gass3268
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« Reply #101 on: April 05, 2016, 04:49:25 PM »

Electorate is much more liberal than 2008.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #102 on: April 05, 2016, 04:49:56 PM »

Can we all just relax and wait for the actual results?

That's not possible on Atlas. It's like asking a dog to do quantum physics.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #103 on: April 05, 2016, 04:51:04 PM »

Racial makeup:

White 84%
Black 9%
Hispanic/Latino 2%
Asian 2%
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #104 on: April 05, 2016, 04:52:47 PM »


http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/live-democratic-primary-exit-poll-analysis/story?id=38163893
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Ebsy
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« Reply #105 on: April 05, 2016, 04:53:43 PM »

Good news for both Clinton and Sanders in the exit poll, but on balance, I would say more good news for Sanders.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #106 on: April 05, 2016, 04:54:16 PM »

72% Democrats
25% Independents
2% Republicans
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #107 on: April 05, 2016, 04:55:58 PM »

If Sanders is only leading whites by 2% (which those numbers come to), this is going to be basically a tie.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #108 on: April 05, 2016, 04:56:42 PM »


Ugh OK very sorry again, ABC had weird wording and may have been referring to white votes overall throughout previous races, I'm not sure.
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bilaps
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« Reply #109 on: April 05, 2016, 04:57:19 PM »


Yeah, so that graphic couldnt be right then.

Edit: Also thanks for the updates.

If this is true, and women make up a larger share of the electorate and non-whites break for Clinton, this is going to be really close.

But they're not the results from Wisconsin, these are exits so far in the primary.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #110 on: April 05, 2016, 04:57:32 PM »


It's ok, we forgive you
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RJEvans
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« Reply #111 on: April 05, 2016, 04:57:53 PM »

If Sanders is only leading whites by 2% (which those numbers come to), this is going to be basically a tie.

I'm just going to wait for results. These exits are giving me whiplash.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #112 on: April 05, 2016, 04:58:11 PM »

So, looks like maybe the original white vote pic with Sanders way up was legit. I guess we'll find out.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #113 on: April 05, 2016, 04:58:47 PM »

Good news for both Clinton and Sanders in the exit poll, but on balance, I would say more good news for Sanders.

Yeah, looks like a Sanders victory but it probably won't be a blowout or anything. God damn that graphic!
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #114 on: April 05, 2016, 04:58:53 PM »

So, looks like maybe the original white vote pic with Sanders way up was legit. I guess we'll find out.

wait what?
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bilaps
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« Reply #115 on: April 05, 2016, 04:58:59 PM »

Guys, hold on a little.

First number that got Sanders so far among whites is bogus

Second numbers which favour Clinton among women is in the primaries so far, not from Wisconsin.
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xingkerui
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« Reply #116 on: April 05, 2016, 05:00:01 PM »

So we went from a Sanderslide to a near tie to knowing nothing again...

Maybe I should take a nap, and come back when the polls close.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #117 on: April 05, 2016, 05:00:25 PM »

So, looks like maybe the original white vote pic with Sanders way up was legit. I guess we'll find out.

wait what?

As in I thought the ABC exit poll disproved it, but it turns out the ABC numbers were just for previous results and not Wisconsin specifically. So we don't know yet if the NBC pic with Sanders way up is fake.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #118 on: April 05, 2016, 05:01:38 PM »

Hey at least I'm making this more exciting Smiley
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #119 on: April 05, 2016, 05:02:04 PM »

So, looks like maybe the original white vote pic with Sanders way up was legit. I guess we'll find out.

wait what?

As in I thought the ABC exit poll disproved it, but it turns out the ABC numbers were just for previous results and not Wisconsin specifically. So we don't know yet if the NBC pic with Sanders way up is fake.
It should be fake, the other parts of this exit wouldn't make since other wise, unless Hillary was getting close to 90
90% of the nonwhite vote.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #120 on: April 05, 2016, 05:04:50 PM »

So, looks like maybe the original white vote pic with Sanders way up was legit. I guess we'll find out.

wait what?

As in I thought the ABC exit poll disproved it, but it turns out the ABC numbers were just for previous results and not Wisconsin specifically. So we don't know yet if the NBC pic with Sanders way up is fake.
No, it wasn't. The exit poll for 2008 was this:



No as in previous results from earlier this year, the states that have already voted in the 2016 Democratic primaries.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #121 on: April 05, 2016, 05:05:25 PM »

I just want to know if Sanders *in his own words* will have a YUUUUUUUUUUGGGGEEEE win here

*Emphasis taken from his own words
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henster
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« Reply #122 on: April 05, 2016, 05:06:43 PM »

I wish there were no exit polls I enjoyed WA, AK, & HI and UT without the suspense.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #123 on: April 05, 2016, 05:07:27 PM »

I wish there were no exit polls I enjoyed WA, AK, & HI and UT without the suspense.

I know, it was so fun and tranquil
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #124 on: April 05, 2016, 05:07:46 PM »

So, looks like maybe the original white vote pic with Sanders way up was legit. I guess we'll find out.

wait what?

As in I thought the ABC exit poll disproved it, but it turns out the ABC numbers were just for previous results and not Wisconsin specifically. So we don't know yet if the NBC pic with Sanders way up is fake.
It should be fake, the other parts of this exit wouldn't make since other wise, unless Hillary was getting close to 90
90% of the nonwhite vote.
Just as an add on to that, if he was getting 68 of the white vote, that's 57.12 of the total democratic electorate.  For the Other numbers to really make since, Hillary would have to win about 99% of others to get exit poll results.
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