WI - Marquette University: Sanders up 4, Cruz up 10 (user search)
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  WI - Marquette University: Sanders up 4, Cruz up 10 (search mode)
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Author Topic: WI - Marquette University: Sanders up 4, Cruz up 10  (Read 12897 times)
Mehmentum
Icefire9
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« on: March 30, 2016, 11:40:50 AM »

Excellent poll for Cruz.  A big loss in Wisconsin would make Trump's path to a majority significantly harder (though not impossible by any means).
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Mehmentum
Icefire9
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« Reply #1 on: March 30, 2016, 01:29:04 PM »

MKE Co.+Cty:
Cruz - 53%
Kasich - 22%
Trump - 15%

MKE MKT
Cruz - 43%
Kasich - 21%
Trump - 27%

Madison MKT:
Cruz - 16%
Kasich - 37%
Trump - 33%

GB Market:
Cruz - 41%
Kasich - 15%
Trump - 32%

Rest:
Cruz - 40
Kasich - 17
Trump - 41

Looks like Ted wins CD 1, 4, 5, 6, and 8. Kasich may win CD 2, Trump might win CD 3 and 7.
Decent synergy between Cruz and Kasich here.  Where Cruz is weakest, Kasich may surpass Trump.
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Mehmentum
Icefire9
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« Reply #2 on: March 30, 2016, 02:30:41 PM »





Media markets and CDs.

So yeah, Cruz looks heavily favored in CDS 1, 4, and 5, and slightly less heavily favored in 6 and 8.  Kasich looks slightly favored in CD 2.  CDS 3 and 7 are a Trump v. Cruz tossup.
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Mehmentum
Icefire9
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« Reply #3 on: March 30, 2016, 02:57:56 PM »
« Edited: March 30, 2016, 03:42:59 PM by Mehmentum »

Ah, thanks.  To be fair, the current map isn't that different.  The same candidates are probably favored in each district.
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