WI - Marquette University: Sanders up 4, Cruz up 10

[Gass3268]

Wow, Sanders is actually winning Milwaukee County in this poll.

[Gass3268]

Wow, Sanders is actually winning Milwaukee County in this poll.

If he is winning Milwaukee then how is he winning overall by only 4?

Milwaukee City and County (Red)
Sanders 49 - Clinton 45

Rest of Milwaukee Media Market (Green)
Clinton 48 - Sanders 46

Madison Media Market (Purple)
Sanders 52 - Clinton 42

Green Bay Media Market (Orange)   
Clinton 48 - Sanders 46

Rest of the state (north and west)(Blue)   
Sanders 54 - Clinton 42

[Gass3268]

Wow, Sanders is actually winning Milwaukee County in this poll.

If he is winning Milwaukee then how is he winning overall by only 4?

Milwaukee City and County (Red)
Sanders 49 - Clinton 45

Rest of Milwaukee Media Market (Green)
Clinton 48 - Sanders 46

Madison Media Market (Purple)
Sanders 52 - Clinton 42

Green Bay Media Market (Orange)   
Clinton 48 - Sanders 46

Rest of the state (north and west)(Blue)   
Sanders 54 - Clinton 42

Not what I would have expected at all. Makes me quite suspicious of this poll.

Same. I fully expect Sanders to win Green Bay, while Clinton dominates in Milwaukee.

As of the July 1, 2014 estimates, Milwaukee County is 53% White, 26% Black, 14% Hispanic, and 4% Asian. A big chuck of the whites that still live in Milwaukee County are middle class blue collar worker types that Sanders does very well with.

[Gass3268]

Media markets and CDs.

So yeah, Cruz looks heavily favored in CDS 1, 4, and 5, and slightly less heavily favored in 6 and 8.  Kasich looks slightly favored in CD 2.  CDS 3 and 7 are a Trump v. Cruz tossup.

That's last decade's CD map