CA-USC/LA Times: Clinton leads Trump by 31 points
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  CA-USC/LA Times: Clinton leads Trump by 31 points
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Author Topic: CA-USC/LA Times: Clinton leads Trump by 31 points  (Read 2915 times)
MT Treasurer
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« on: March 28, 2016, 02:02:36 PM »

Clinton (D): 59%
Trump (R): 28%

Clinton (D): 54%
Kasich (R): 35%

Trump only gets 12% of Latinos lol.

https://gqrr.app.box.com/s/k000yvcmq0flmf56jw26vkm4mm52az3g
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IceSpear
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« Reply #1 on: March 28, 2016, 02:08:17 PM »

If only Trump had a Hispanic wife rather than a Slovenian wife, he'd win this state in a landslide.

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Mike Thick
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« Reply #2 on: March 28, 2016, 03:14:04 PM »

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=225598

-StatesPoll.com- told me Trump has a chance of winning CA against Hillary with 20~30% possibility! #JunkPoll
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Ronnie
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« Reply #3 on: March 28, 2016, 03:19:56 PM »

I think Hillary would have a real shot at breaking 70% in the state if Trump is the nominee.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #4 on: March 28, 2016, 03:26:08 PM »

Watershed election, especially with Latino voters in Cali, hope she gets up to 70%
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IceSpear
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« Reply #5 on: March 28, 2016, 03:30:10 PM »

New Poll: California President by LA Times on 2016-03-23

Summary: D: 59%, R: 28%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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VirginiŠ
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« Reply #6 on: March 28, 2016, 03:53:18 PM »

Unrelated, but why do most poll's results not add up? I assume it's because they include people who said they aren't going to vote, or something like that, but wouldn't it make more sense to only include people who said they intend to vote?
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #7 on: March 28, 2016, 03:54:34 PM »

Numbers like these show you that there's no plausible scenario in which Trump wins the popular vote but loses the electoral college...
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Sorenroy
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« Reply #8 on: March 28, 2016, 04:13:04 PM »


This makes no sense. It only adds up to 90%. What's wrong with this poll? Edit: I found it out. The poll results are as follows:

Hillary Clinton: 59%
Donald Trump: 28%
Other: 4%

I assume the rest falls into other and is lost in rounding, as per the "Full Poll Details".

Can someone go back and change the numbers entered?
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #9 on: March 28, 2016, 04:31:02 PM »

Toss-up/tilt D
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Sbane
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« Reply #10 on: March 28, 2016, 04:51:55 PM »

Numbers like these show you that there's no plausible scenario in which Trump wins the popular vote but loses the electoral college...

I suppose there is a possibility Trump will do much better in New York, New Jersey, Massachusetts etc while still losing them. You are right though, it's much more likely Trump loses the popular vote but wins the electoral vote with small wins in Pennsylvania, Ohio and Florida.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #11 on: March 28, 2016, 05:14:33 PM »

NY with Latino population will wind up like CA.
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Xing
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« Reply #12 on: March 28, 2016, 08:53:59 PM »

If Trump is only winning 12% of Latinos, he'll lose by much more than 31%...
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« Reply #13 on: March 29, 2016, 04:52:02 AM »

It adds up if you include all their odd options.

Hillary Clinton            58 
Lean Hillary Clinton        1
Donald Trump               26
Lean Donald Trump           1
(Other)                     4
Lean (Other)                1
(Undecided)                 3
(Ref)                       1
(Will not vote)             4
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #14 on: March 29, 2016, 09:03:30 AM »

LOL, trump would lose so badly here.
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P123
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« Reply #15 on: March 29, 2016, 10:26:49 AM »

Yeah, California will be his worst state in the nation. Clinton will get 98% of the Obama voters and alot of the upper-class southern Californian Republicans will vote Clinton. Trump will also do horribly among California Hispanics. I could see Clinton breaking 70% in CA, 65%+ seems obvious.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #16 on: March 29, 2016, 10:35:14 AM »

This obviously mean NY, NJ or IL isnt in play, large Central America Latinos, non Mexicans.
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
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« Reply #17 on: March 29, 2016, 12:48:56 PM »

Numbers like these show you that there's no plausible scenario in which Trump wins the popular vote but loses the electoral college...

I suppose there is a possibility Trump will do much better in New York, New Jersey, Massachusetts etc while still losing them. You are right though, it's much more likely Trump loses the popular vote but wins the electoral vote with small wins in Pennsylvania, Ohio and Florida.

There is no evidence that Trump will carry PA. None.
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Mallow
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« Reply #18 on: March 29, 2016, 01:13:41 PM »

There is no evidence that Trump will carry PA. None.

Early general election polls are useless. My guess is that if Trump wins the election, the tipping point state will be PA.

Maybe, but where is your evidence that Trump wins the election?

If early general election polls are useless (which I generally agree with), what's your evidence that Trump wins the election? Because if there's not any, then "There is no evidence that Trump will carry PA," as Shadow said.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #19 on: March 29, 2016, 01:55:11 PM »
« Edited: March 29, 2016, 01:57:21 PM by Da-Jon »

Even if CLINTON loses, which she wont because of the Latino vote, her floor is 252, like Al Gore and Kerry  managed to lose Iowa or NH, but manage to win Pa.
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Holmes
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« Reply #20 on: March 29, 2016, 03:03:48 PM »

Told my husband he's down 31% here, and he said "that's it?" Here especially in the Bay Area, it'll be really bad.
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #21 on: March 29, 2016, 03:06:22 PM »

San Francisco could be interesting; I wonder how many Milo Yiannowhateverus type gays there are there?
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #22 on: March 30, 2016, 01:20:03 AM »

Told my husband he's down 31% here, and he said "that's it?" Here especially in the Bay Area, it'll be really bad.

I do wonder how better the Sanders numbers would be.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #23 on: March 30, 2016, 08:48:54 AM »

This obviously mean NY, NJ or IL isnt in play, large Central America Latinos, non Mexicans.

Don't forget, the Trumpster will win NY.
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madelka
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« Reply #24 on: March 30, 2016, 02:01:28 PM »

If only we nominated Sanders.... he'd by leading by at least 45 points here!
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