NH Republican Governors Candidates
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Author Topic: NH Republican Governors Candidates  (Read 2552 times)
NHI
Junior Chimp
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« on: March 27, 2016, 10:09:20 AM »

Joining:

Exec. Councilor Chris Sununu and Rep. Frank Edelblut is Manchester Mayor Ted Gatsas and State Senator Jeannie Forrester.
https://politics.concordmonitor.com/2016/03/gov-state/manchester-mayor-gatsas-to-run-for-nh-governor-2/

The GOP primary is sure now to be an interesting and competitive race. I'd give the edge to Gatsas over Sununu, I think people are over family political dynasties.
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cxs018
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: March 27, 2016, 10:16:15 AM »

Generic R vs. Generic D: Leans/Likely D
Female D vs. Male R: Safe D
Female R vs. Male D: Likely R
Female D vs. Female R: Likely D

You guys are lucky that Stefany Shaheen decided not to run. Temporary stay of execution, I guess. Smiley

What about Male R vs. Male D? Or are generic candidates male now?
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #2 on: March 27, 2016, 12:22:13 PM »

Mayor Gatsas is a pretty good candidate.
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NHI
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: March 27, 2016, 12:25:40 PM »

Mayor Gatsas is a pretty good candidate.
He is, better than Sununu IMO
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #4 on: March 27, 2016, 02:22:19 PM »

Has Jeb Bradley said whether he's running?

Gatsas seems like a strong candidate, but so was Brown. Republicans will only win this race if Ayotte is reelected and even then it will be close. It will require many angry women who will vote for Clinton split their ticket... Leans D at this point. But closer to Likely D than Tossup.

NH elections are so predictable lol.
The polls show it being close, and I suspect that Sununu could make it such.
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Shameless Lefty Hack
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« Reply #5 on: March 30, 2016, 07:29:09 PM »

I think Gatsas is the strongest candidate to capitalize on the Trump blowout in the #FITN.

Van Ostern is probably the least unpalatable to the Bernie NH voters, and I think he's got the best shot to win the primary now that the Shaheen Machine is not putting its nose into the race.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #6 on: March 30, 2016, 07:41:09 PM »

I think the current rating in electability is: Gatsas>Forrester>Van Ostern>Sununu>Connolly.
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smoltchanov
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #7 on: March 31, 2016, 12:04:53 AM »

Repeat my question from similar thread here: ideological positions (economy & social) of candidates? Van Ostern is more or less Sanders liberal, Connolly - Clinton liberal. Republicans - ?
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #8 on: March 31, 2016, 12:22:51 AM »

Repeat my question from similar thread here: ideological positions (economy & social) of candidates? Van Ostern is more or less Sanders liberal, Connolly - Clinton liberal. Republicans - ?
Van Ostern is a left-libertarian type, whereas Connolly is more a Joe Sestak or Jim Webb populist type.

If a NHer could confirm these rough scales:
Gatsas: socially -0.1, economically 3.0
Forrester: socially -1.25, economically 3.75
Sununu: socially 2.5, economically 3.3
Edelbut: socially 4.75, economically - 2.5
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smoltchanov
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #9 on: March 31, 2016, 03:08:19 AM »
« Edited: March 31, 2016, 04:46:56 AM by smoltchanov »

As usual - minus is "more liberal"?. So - Forrester is most liberal socially, while Edelbut - a social conservative with some populist streak on economy? Interesting...
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #10 on: March 31, 2016, 04:53:57 AM »

As usual - minus is "more liberal"?. So - Forrester is most liberal socially, while Edelbut - a social conservative with some populist streak on economy? Interesting...
forrester is a pro life libertarian type. Sununu is pro-choice but far more mainstream socially.
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smoltchanov
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #11 on: March 31, 2016, 05:02:08 AM »

As usual - minus is "more liberal"?. So - Forrester is most liberal socially, while Edelbut - a social conservative with some populist streak on economy? Interesting...
forrester is a pro life libertarian type. Sununu is pro-choice but far more mainstream socially.

Thanks! At least - a variety of views. In 95% of all districts Republican candidates are monotonously conservative, and in 90% - Democratic candidates are monotonously liberal...
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Horsemask
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« Reply #12 on: March 31, 2016, 09:04:03 PM »

Leaning Gatsas at this point for me
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #13 on: April 01, 2016, 09:10:43 PM »

Leaning Gatsas at this point for me
Wise choice. I want to see a debate, as I have very little to go but other than their announcements. I'm not sure if Gatsas is pro-choice or pro-life.
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smoltchanov
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #14 on: April 02, 2016, 01:17:38 AM »

Leaning Gatsas at this point for me
Wise choice. I want to see a debate, as I have very little to go but other than their announcements. I'm not sure if Gatsas is pro-choice or pro-life.

IMHO - somewhat pro-life (looking at his past career). Frankly  - that would bother me if i would vote in New Hampshire, as i generally prefer pro-choice candidates...
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #15 on: April 02, 2016, 01:36:06 AM »

Leaning Gatsas at this point for me
Wise choice. I want to see a debate, as I have very little to go but other than their announcements. I'm not sure if Gatsas is pro-choice or pro-life.

IMHO - somewhat pro-life (looking at his past career). Frankly  - that would bother me if i would vote in New Hampshire, as i generally prefer pro-choice candidates...

Van Ostern is great, too. NH has some great candidates. I personally want Sununu or Gatsas to win, so then Pappas can win in 2018 or 2020.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #16 on: April 03, 2016, 03:30:37 PM »

I think the current rating in electability is: Gatsas>Forrester>Van Ostern>Sununu>Connolly.

Idk about the rest, but Gastas is a pretty weak candidate who only won re-election against a B-list opponent by the skin of his teeth.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #17 on: April 03, 2016, 05:16:37 PM »

I think the current rating in electability is: Gatsas>Forrester>Van Ostern>Sununu>Connolly.

Idk about the rest, but Gastas is a pretty weak candidate who only won re-election against a B-list opponent by the skin of his teeth.

In a city election, that's pretty good for the Republicans.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #18 on: April 03, 2016, 10:02:14 PM »

I think the current rating in electability is: Gatsas>Forrester>Van Ostern>Sununu>Connolly.

Idk about the rest, but Gastas is a pretty weak candidate who only won re-election against a B-list opponent by the skin of his teeth.

In a city election, that's pretty good for the Republicans.

Manchester is a Republican stronghold, IIRC.
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smoltchanov
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #19 on: April 04, 2016, 12:42:02 AM »

I think the current rating in electability is: Gatsas>Forrester>Van Ostern>Sununu>Connolly.

Idk about the rest, but Gastas is a pretty weak candidate who only won re-election against a B-list opponent by the skin of his teeth.

In a city election, that's pretty good for the Republicans.

Manchester is a Republican stronghold, IIRC.

I wouln't say so - it's a sort of mixed. But it's surely more conservative then Concord, and, probably, slightly more then Nashua. Even among Democrats in Manchester there are somewhat conservative-leaning legislators
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #20 on: April 04, 2016, 11:47:11 AM »

I think the current rating in electability is: Gatsas>Forrester>Van Ostern>Sununu>Connolly.

Idk about the rest, but Gastas is a pretty weak candidate who only won re-election against a B-list opponent by the skin of his teeth.

In a city election, that's pretty good for the Republicans.

Manchester is a Republican stronghold, IIRC.
Obama carried the county twice, so I'd say it only leans slightly R, if at all.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #21 on: April 04, 2016, 11:51:39 AM »

What are Gastas' positions on social issues?
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #22 on: April 04, 2016, 06:25:13 PM »

I think the current rating in electability is: Gatsas>Forrester>Van Ostern>Sununu>Connolly.

Idk about the rest, but Gastas is a pretty weak candidate who only won re-election against a B-list opponent by the skin of his teeth.

In a city election, that's pretty good for the Republicans.

Manchester is a Republican stronghold, IIRC.
Obama carried the county twice, so I'd say it only leans slightly R, if at all.

1) Talking about the city

2) Obama ran well ahead of most Democrats in NH

3) Those were national elections
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Nyvin
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #23 on: April 04, 2016, 07:58:48 PM »

I think the current rating in electability is: Gatsas>Forrester>Van Ostern>Sununu>Connolly.

Idk about the rest, but Gastas is a pretty weak candidate who only won re-election against a B-list opponent by the skin of his teeth.

In a city election, that's pretty good for the Republicans.

Manchester is a Republican stronghold, IIRC.

Nope,   leans pretty Dem actually.   All the suburbs around it are Republican though.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #24 on: April 04, 2016, 08:52:00 PM »

I think the current rating in electability is: Gatsas>Forrester>Van Ostern>Sununu>Connolly.

Idk about the rest, but Gastas is a pretty weak candidate who only won re-election against a B-list opponent by the skin of his teeth.

In a city election, that's pretty good for the Republicans.

Manchester is a Republican stronghold, IIRC.

Nope,   leans pretty Dem actually.   All the suburbs around it are Republican though.

Really?  Huh.  My bad.
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